OpenAI’s July 9, 2026 public rollout of the GPT-5.6 family—Sol flagship, Terra balanced tier, and Luna cost-efficient variant—followed a brief Trump administration hold for cybersecurity testing under a new voluntary AI vetting regime. Terra delivers GPT-5.5-level performance at roughly half the price, strengthening OpenAI’s position against Anthropic’s Claude models on agentic coding and ExploitBench benchmarks while expanding API and ChatGPT access. With the 5.6 series now generally available across platforms, trader attention has shifted to the next Terra iteration (5.7+), influenced by OpenAI’s September 3 announcement of GPT-6 Astra as the subsequent generation and ongoing internal progress on reasoning and safety features. Key upcoming catalysts include any developer conferences, pricing updates, or regulatory milestones that could clarify release timelines amid rapid model iteration.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSeptember 30
48%
October 31
50%
November 30
83%
$5,173 Vol.
September 30
48%
October 31
50%
November 30
83%
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 9:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s July 9, 2026 public rollout of the GPT-5.6 family—Sol flagship, Terra balanced tier, and Luna cost-efficient variant—followed a brief Trump administration hold for cybersecurity testing under a new voluntary AI vetting regime. Terra delivers GPT-5.5-level performance at roughly half the price, strengthening OpenAI’s position against Anthropic’s Claude models on agentic coding and ExploitBench benchmarks while expanding API and ChatGPT access. With the 5.6 series now generally available across platforms, trader attention has shifted to the next Terra iteration (5.7+), influenced by OpenAI’s September 3 announcement of GPT-6 Astra as the subsequent generation and ongoing internal progress on reasoning and safety features. Key upcoming catalysts include any developer conferences, pricing updates, or regulatory milestones that could clarify release timelines amid rapid model iteration.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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