**Strong trader consensus on the $4.00–$4.50 per GPU-hour band for H200 rentals at end of August 2026 stems from observed on-demand rates across neocloud and marketplace providers.** Late-August snapshots showed competitive listings clustered tightly in this range, including Akash Network at $4.45, Nebius at $4.50, RunPod near $4.31–$4.59, and Jarvislabs or Vast.ai floors around $3.82–$3.99. H200’s 141 GB HBM3e memory and 4.8 TB/s bandwidth sustained demand for memory-intensive inference and long-context workloads, while expanding neocloud capacity and platform competition capped upside versus hyperscaler premiums above $7–$10. Realistic challenges include accelerated Blackwell (B200) substitution easing Hopper demand, sudden large-scale capacity additions, or sharp shifts in spot/interruptible pricing that could pull the effective on-demand median below $4.00.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.00-$4.50 95.5%
$4.50-$5.00 61%
<$4.00 <1%
$5.00-$5.50 <1%
$55,297 Vol.
$55,297 Vol.
<$4.00
No
$4.00-$4.50
Yes
$4.50-$5.00
No
$5.00-$5.50
No
$5.50-$6.00
No
$6.00+
No
$4.00-$4.50 95.5%
$4.50-$5.00 61%
<$4.00 <1%
$5.00-$5.50 <1%
$55,297 Vol.
$55,297 Vol.
<$4.00
No
$4.00-$4.50
Yes
$4.50-$5.00
No
$5.00-$5.50
No
$5.50-$6.00
No
$6.00+
No
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Strong trader consensus on the $4.00–$4.50 per GPU-hour band for H200 rentals at end of August 2026 stems from observed on-demand rates across neocloud and marketplace providers.** Late-August snapshots showed competitive listings clustered tightly in this range, including Akash Network at $4.45, Nebius at $4.50, RunPod near $4.31–$4.59, and Jarvislabs or Vast.ai floors around $3.82–$3.99. H200’s 141 GB HBM3e memory and 4.8 TB/s bandwidth sustained demand for memory-intensive inference and long-context workloads, while expanding neocloud capacity and platform competition capped upside versus hyperscaler premiums above $7–$10. Realistic challenges include accelerated Blackwell (B200) substitution easing Hopper demand, sudden large-scale capacity additions, or sharp shifts in spot/interruptible pricing that could pull the effective on-demand median below $4.00.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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