Trader consensus heavily favors Paramount at 79.5% to close its $110 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, following the February 27 agreement valuing WBD at $31 per share in cash plus a ticking fee, after prevailing over bids from Netflix and Comcast. Warner Bros. Discovery scheduled a shareholder vote for April 23, 2026, a key procedural step amid low debt concerns and strategic synergies in studios, streaming, and linear networks like HBO, CNN, and CBS. The 16.5% on "None by June 30, 2027" reflects antitrust risks from DOJ/FTC reviews, EU/UK regulators, and recent theater owner opposition urging state attorneys general to block the deal over market concentration. Fading Netflix and Comcast odds stem from their withdrawal post-second-round bids.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedParamount 80%
None by June 30, 2027 17%
Netflix <1%
Comcast <1%
$972,580 Vol.
$972,580 Vol.
Paramount
80%
None by June 30, 2027
17%
Netflix
<1%
Comcast
<1%
Paramount 80%
None by June 30, 2027 17%
Netflix <1%
Comcast <1%
$972,580 Vol.
$972,580 Vol.
Paramount
80%
None by June 30, 2027
17%
Netflix
<1%
Comcast
<1%
Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".
Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".
Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Paramount at 79.5% to close its $110 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, following the February 27 agreement valuing WBD at $31 per share in cash plus a ticking fee, after prevailing over bids from Netflix and Comcast. Warner Bros. Discovery scheduled a shareholder vote for April 23, 2026, a key procedural step amid low debt concerns and strategic synergies in studios, streaming, and linear networks like HBO, CNN, and CBS. The 16.5% on "None by June 30, 2027" reflects antitrust risks from DOJ/FTC reviews, EU/UK regulators, and recent theater owner opposition urging state attorneys general to block the deal over market concentration. Fading Netflix and Comcast odds stem from their withdrawal post-second-round bids.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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