Surging private market valuations and Starship development milestones are driving trader consensus toward a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5T–$2.0T, with 52.5% implied probability, reflecting optimism over Starlink's rapid subscriber growth to over 4 million and projected $13B+ 2025 revenue. Recent tender offers valued the company at $350B in late 2024, up sharply from $210B mid-year, fueled by record Falcon 9 launch cadence and successful Starship Flight 5 booster catch in October. Elon Musk's hints at a Starlink IPO spin-off in 2025 before full SpaceX listing add momentum, though regulatory hurdles and technical risks temper higher bins. Traders eye IFT-6 test and defense contracts as key catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоSpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.852T
1.5T-2.0T 53%
2.0T-2.5T 23%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
<1.0T 3.6%
NEW
$59,318 Объем
NEW
$59,318 Объем
<1.0T
4%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
53%
2.0T-2.5T
23%
2.5T-3.0T
3%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3,5T+
2%
No IPO before 2028
2%
1.5T-2.0T 53%
2.0T-2.5T 23%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
<1.0T 3.6%
NEW
$59,318 Объем
NEW
$59,318 Объем
<1.0T
$8,436 Объем
4%
1.0T-1.5T
$5,686 Объем
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$6,936 Объем
53%
2.0T-2.5T
$7,100 Объем
23%
2.5T-3.0T
$7,342 Объем
3%
3.0T-3.5T
$7,489 Объем
3%
3,5T+
$8,486 Объем
2%
No IPO before 2028
$7,843 Объем
2%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Surging private market valuations and Starship development milestones are driving trader consensus toward a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5T–$2.0T, with 52.5% implied probability, reflecting optimism over Starlink's rapid subscriber growth to over 4 million and projected $13B+ 2025 revenue. Recent tender offers valued the company at $350B in late 2024, up sharply from $210B mid-year, fueled by record Falcon 9 launch cadence and successful Starship Flight 5 booster catch in October. Elon Musk's hints at a Starlink IPO spin-off in 2025 before full SpaceX listing add momentum, though regulatory hurdles and technical risks temper higher bins. Traders eye IFT-6 test and defense contracts as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Объем
$59,318Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Surging private market valuations and Starship development milestones are driving trader consensus toward a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5T–$2.0T, with 52.5% implied probability, reflecting optimism over Starlink's rapid subscriber growth to over 4 million and projected $13B+ 2025 revenue. Recent tender offers valued the company at $350B in late 2024, up sharply from $210B mid-year, fueled by record Falcon 9 launch cadence and successful Starship Flight 5 booster catch in October. Elon Musk's hints at a Starlink IPO spin-off in 2025 before full SpaceX listing add momentum, though regulatory hurdles and technical risks temper higher bins. Traders eye IFT-6 test and defense contracts as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$59,318Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Surging private market valuations and Starship development milestones are driving trader consensus toward a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5T–$2.0T, with 52.5% implied probability, reflecting optimism over Starlink's rapid subscriber growth to over 4 million and projected $13B+ 2025 revenue. Recent tender offers valued the company at $350B in late 2024, up sharply from $210B mid-year, fueled by record Falcon 9 launch cadence and successful Starship Flight 5 booster catch in October. Elon Musk's hints at a Starlink IPO spin-off in 2025 before full SpaceX listing add momentum, though regulatory hurdles and technical risks temper higher bins. Traders eye IFT-6 test and defense contracts as key catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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