Recent SpaceX secondary tender offer valuing the company at $350 billion—up sharply from prior rounds—has solidified trader consensus around a 1.5T-2.0T IPO market cap (52.5% implied probability), reflecting explosive growth in Starlink's satellite internet constellation, now serving millions of users globally, and Starship's rapid progress toward full reusability with successful integrated flight tests. Elon Musk's confirmation that Starlink won't IPO until cashflow positive tempers near-term expectations, keeping "No IPO before 2028" at just 4.5%, while competitive dominance in launch services and NASA/DoD contracts underpin bets on trillion-scale valuation upon public listing. Traders eye upcoming Starship Flight 6 and Starlink profitability milestones as key catalysts that could accelerate odds toward higher brackets like 2.0T-2.5T (21.5%).
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоSpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T-2.0T 53%
2.0T-2.5T 22%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
No IPO before 2028 5%
$29,306 Объем
$29,306 Объем
<1.0T
3%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
53%
2.0T-2.5T
22%
2.5T-3.0T
4%
3.0T-3.5T
4%
3,5T+
3%
No IPO before 2028
5%
1.5T-2.0T 53%
2.0T-2.5T 22%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
No IPO before 2028 5%
$29,306 Объем
$29,306 Объем
<1.0T
3%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
53%
2.0T-2.5T
22%
2.5T-3.0T
4%
3.0T-3.5T
4%
3,5T+
3%
No IPO before 2028
5%
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent SpaceX secondary tender offer valuing the company at $350 billion—up sharply from prior rounds—has solidified trader consensus around a 1.5T-2.0T IPO market cap (52.5% implied probability), reflecting explosive growth in Starlink's satellite internet constellation, now serving millions of users globally, and Starship's rapid progress toward full reusability with successful integrated flight tests. Elon Musk's confirmation that Starlink won't IPO until cashflow positive tempers near-term expectations, keeping "No IPO before 2028" at just 4.5%, while competitive dominance in launch services and NASA/DoD contracts underpin bets on trillion-scale valuation upon public listing. Traders eye upcoming Starship Flight 6 and Starlink profitability milestones as key catalysts that could accelerate odds toward higher brackets like 2.0T-2.5T (21.5%).
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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