SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in April 2026, positioning a June listing with an initial $50–75 billion target raise at a $1.5–2 trillion-plus valuation, anchors current trader sentiment around the 70–90 billion range. Strong Starlink revenue momentum and Starship flight-rate ambitions support higher capital needs for orbital AI infrastructure and lunar ambitions, while secondary share sales at an $800 billion private valuation in late 2025 set a credible floor. Market-implied odds reflect tight competition between these figures and lower estimates, with differentiation driven by final pricing negotiations, retail allocation size, and any last-minute adjustments to the S-1 before the roadshow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$140,636 Объем
$140,636 Объем
<40 млрд
2%
40-50 млрд
8%
50-60 млрд
30%
60-70 млрд
5%
70–80 млрд
41%
80-90 млрд
33%
90-100 млрд
5%
100-110 млрд
3%
110-120 млрд
4%
120 млрд+
1%
$140,636 Объем
$140,636 Объем
<40 млрд
2%
40-50 млрд
8%
50-60 млрд
30%
60-70 млрд
5%
70–80 млрд
41%
80-90 млрд
33%
90-100 млрд
5%
100-110 млрд
3%
110-120 млрд
4%
120 млрд+
1%
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in April 2026, positioning a June listing with an initial $50–75 billion target raise at a $1.5–2 trillion-plus valuation, anchors current trader sentiment around the 70–90 billion range. Strong Starlink revenue momentum and Starship flight-rate ambitions support higher capital needs for orbital AI infrastructure and lunar ambitions, while secondary share sales at an $800 billion private valuation in late 2025 set a credible floor. Market-implied odds reflect tight competition between these figures and lower estimates, with differentiation driven by final pricing negotiations, retail allocation size, and any last-minute adjustments to the S-1 before the roadshow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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