This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding position in the AI accelerator market, with roughly 80-85% share amid explosive data center demand, underpins the near-certain market consensus that it will hold the top market-cap spot at July's end. Strong Blackwell platform adoption and sustained hyperscaler spending have offset periodic valuation pressures from AI buildout cost concerns, allowing NVIDIA to reclaim and defend leadership over Apple and Microsoft despite brief July fluctuations. Traders view the company's execution edge and expanding total addressable market as durable through month-end. Potential disruptors include sharper-than-expected competitor gains from custom silicon or an abrupt slowdown in enterprise AI budgets, though current momentum makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
NVIDIA's commanding position in the AI accelerator market, with roughly 80-85% share amid explosive data center demand, underpins the near-certain market consensus that it will hold the top market-cap spot at July's end. Strong Blackwell platform adoption and sustained hyperscaler spending have offset periodic valuation pressures from AI buildout cost concerns, allowing NVIDIA to reclaim and defend leadership over Apple and Microsoft despite brief July fluctuations. Traders view the company's execution edge and expanding total addressable market as durable through month-end. Potential disruptors include sharper-than-expected competitor gains from custom silicon or an abrupt slowdown in enterprise AI budgets, though current momentum makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Jul 30 2026
Microsoft Stock Surges 15% in Historic Single-Day Market Cap Gain
Microsoft plunges to 0%23%
Following a strong Q4 FY2026 earnings report with Azure crossing $100 billion in annual revenue, Microsoft’s stock surged over 15%, adding approximately $450 billion in market value, the largest single-day gain in history.
Jul 30 2026
Microsoft posts historic market cap surge after earnings report
On July 30, 2026, Microsoft’s stock surged over 15%, adding nearly $500 billion in market capitalization in a single day following a strong earnings report that alleviated investor concerns about AI investments and cash flow.
Jul 30 2026
Apple Hits $5 Trillion Market Cap Amid Strategic Pricing Decisions
Apple's market capitalization surpassed $5 trillion driven by stable iPhone pricing and increased shipments, marking it as the second company ever to reach this milestone, shortly before Tim Cook's final earnings call as CEO.
Jul 30 2026
Microsoft Reports Strong Q4 FY26 Results, Stock Jumps Nearly 9%
Microsoft's Q4 FY2026 earnings beat expectations with Azure revenue crossing $100 billion annually, leading to a nearly 9% stock price increase and reinforcing investor confidence in AI and cloud growth.
Jul 30 2026
Apple CEO Tim Cook's final earnings call marks leadership transition
Apple’s Q3 2026 earnings call on July 30, 2026, was Tim Cook’s last as CEO, marking a significant leadership transition to John Ternus and influencing investor confidence and stock valuation.
Jul 29 2026
Nvidia shares fall nearly 5% amid market challenges and AI investment scrutiny
NVIDIA drops to 9%13%
On July 29, 2026, Nvidia’s shares dropped nearly 5% to $196.51 amid concerns about the sustainability of its AI capital expenditures and market valuation, reflecting investor caution despite strong revenue growth in AI data center chips.
Jul 29 2026
Microsoft reports strong Q4 FY26 earnings, shares jump
Microsoft's Q4 FY26 earnings beat expectations with Azure crossing $100 billion annual revenue, leading to a $260 billion market cap increase and a stock price rally despite sector volatility.
Jul 29 2026
Amazon Expected to Raise 2026 Capital Expenditure Guidance After Alphabet's Increase
Amazon plunges to 0%22%
Following Alphabet's increase in full-year 2026 capex guidance, Amazon is anticipated to raise its own AI-related capital expenditure forecast during its Q2 earnings report on July 30, reflecting ongoing investment in AI infrastructure.
Jul 28 2026
Apple briefly hits $5 trillion market cap amid strong iPhone demand
Apple surges to 90%20%
Apple's market capitalization briefly surpassed $5 trillion on July 28, 2026, driven by strong iPhone 17 demand, a device-first AI strategy, and regulatory approval in China, positioning Apple as a close competitor to Nvidia for the largest company title.
Jul 28 2026
Apple briefly surpasses $5 trillion market cap, becoming second company to do so
Apple plunges to 25%54%
Apple's market capitalization briefly exceeded $5 trillion on July 28, 2026, driven by strong iPhone demand, strategic pricing decisions, and anticipation of CEO Tim Cook's final earnings call. This milestone marked Apple as only the second company after NVIDIA to reach this valuation.
Jul 27 2026
Apple Reclaims Title as World's Most Valuable Company with $4.94 Trillion Market Cap
Apple jumps to 20%8%
Apple's stock rose to a new all-time high, pushing its market capitalization to approximately $4.94 trillion, briefly surpassing Nvidia and reclaiming the top spot due to strong iPhone demand and a device-first AI strategy.
Jul 27 2026
Apple stock surges amid $5 trillion market cap milestone anticipation
Apple surges to 76%53%
Apple's stock surged on July 27, 2026, driven by investor excitement ahead of the company briefly crossing the $5 trillion market cap mark and the upcoming CEO transition.
Jul 27 2026
Apple reclaims title of world's most valuable company from Nvidia
Apple surges to 79%55%
On July 27, 2026, Apple’s market cap rose to roughly $4.94 trillion, surpassing Nvidia’s $4.83 trillion, driven by investor preference for companies with restrained AI spending. This marked a shift in leadership after Nvidia had held the top spot since June 2025.
Jul 27 2026
Apple reclaims world's largest market cap with record closing highs
Apple dips to 25%4%
On July 27, 2026, Apple closed at an all-time high, lifting its market capitalization to approximately $4.93–$4.95 trillion, briefly surpassing NVIDIA and ending NVIDIA’s 272-day run as the largest U.S. company by market value.
Jul 23 2026
Alphabet stock slides 7% after raising 2026 capital expenditure guidance
Alphabet drops to 4%8%
On July 23, 2026, Alphabet’s stock dropped 7.13% to $317.69 after the company raised its AI-related capital spending forecast for 2026, signaling aggressive investment ahead. Investors reacted negatively due to concerns over the impact of high AI spending on profitability.
Jul 23 2026
Tesla stock plunges 14.5% after Q2 earnings miss and margin concerns
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Following Tesla's Q2 2026 earnings release, the stock dropped sharply due to a miss on earnings per share and concerns over AI and robotics spending impacting profitability, wiping out significant market value.
Jul 22 2026
Tesla Q2 2026 Earnings Miss Triggers Massive Market Cap Wipeout
Tesla plunges to 0%78%
Tesla reported record revenue and deliveries but missed earnings expectations due to high costs from AI and robotics investments, causing a 14.5% stock price drop and a $140 billion market cap loss in one day.
Jul 22 2026
Tesla stock plunges 14.5% after Q2 earnings miss and margin concerns
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Tesla’s shares dropped sharply on July 23, 2026, following a Q2 earnings report that showed strong revenue but significant margin compression due to AI and robotics investments, leading to a loss of over $140 billion in market cap in one day.
Jul 22 2026
Tesla reports Q2 earnings with revenue growth but profit decline
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Tesla's Q2 2026 earnings showed 16% revenue growth to $22.4 billion but a 57% drop in operating profit, leading to a $200 billion market cap decline amid increased AI and robotics investments, weakening its position in the market.
Jul 21 2026
Nvidia reports strong Q2 revenue guidance and AI chip demand
Nvidia's stock traded near record highs with a market cap around $5.05 trillion, supported by robust AI infrastructure demand and $91 billion revenue guidance for Q2. This reinforced Nvidia's position as the world's largest company by market cap in July 2026.
Jul 18 2026
Alphabet maintains strong revenue growth but faces high capex pressure
Alphabet plunges to 0%42%
Alphabet reported $109.9 billion in Q1 2026 revenue with 63% cloud growth, but increased AI infrastructure spending raised capital expenditures to $180-190 billion for 2026, pressuring free cash flow and stock performance.
Jul 16 2026
Chinese regulators approve Apple Intelligence features in China
Apple surges to 38%26%
Chinese regulatory clearance for Apple's AI features with local partners boosted investor confidence, contributing to Apple's stock rally and market cap growth approaching $5 trillion.
Jul 16 2026
Jim Cramer highlights Broadcom as market turn indicator amid AI spending
Broadcom plunges to 0%23%
Jim Cramer identified Broadcom as a bellwether stock for hyperscaler AI spending and market direction in early July 2026, influencing investor sentiment and price movements in the semiconductor sector.
Jul 14 2026
Nvidia loses nearly $1 trillion in market cap over two months
Between mid-May and early July 2026, Nvidia's market cap declined by nearly $1 trillion, reflecting a significant correction after a peak valuation of approximately $5.5 trillion, impacting its stock price and market position temporarily.
Jul 14 2026
Saudi Aramco Base Oil hits 52-week high amid strong demand
On July 14, 2026, Saudi Aramco Base Oil stock reached a 52-week high after a 7-day winning streak, reflecting strong demand and positive market sentiment despite broader oil price volatility.
Jul 9 2026
Jim Cramer highlights Broadcom as market indicator for tech sector
Broadcom plunges to 0%23%
Jim Cramer identified Broadcom as a bellwether semiconductor stock signaling market turns, with its Q2 2026 earnings and hyperscaler AI spending trends closely watched by investors for sector health indications.
Jul 6 2026
Saudi Aramco Cuts Oil Prices Amid Market Weakness
Saudi Aramco drops to 0%13%
Saudi Aramco announced its largest oil price cut in decades, lowering Arab Light oil prices by $11 a barrel for Asian buyers, reflecting increased global supply and heightened competition, impacting its stock price and market cap.
Jul 6 2026
Apple stock rises on anticipation of iPhone 18 release and CEO transition
Apple drops to 12%6%
Apple's stock rose over 13% year-to-date by early July 2026, fueled by strong earnings in 2025, upcoming iPhone 18 launch, and Tim Cook's planned CEO departure, boosting investor optimism.
Jul 2 2026
US labor market shows signs of cooling in June 2026
The US economy added only 57,000 jobs in June 2026, below expectations, signaling a potential weakening labor market that could influence Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and broader economic conditions affecting market valuations.
Jul 2 2026
Tesla reports strong Q2 deliveries but warns on AI spending costs
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Tesla announced record vehicle deliveries in Q2 2026, but heavy AI and robotics investments pressured earnings, leading to a sharp stock decline and significant market cap loss in July.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding position in the AI accelerator market, with roughly 80-85% share amid explosive data center demand, underpins the near-certain market consensus that it will hold the top market-cap spot at July's end. Strong Blackwell platform adoption and sustained hyperscaler spending have offset periodic valuation pressures from AI buildout cost concerns, allowing NVIDIA to reclaim and defend leadership over Apple and Microsoft despite brief July fluctuations. Traders view the company's execution edge and expanding total addressable market as durable through month-end. Potential disruptors include sharper-than-expected competitor gains from custom silicon or an abrupt slowdown in enterprise AI budgets, though current momentum makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
NVIDIA's commanding position in the AI accelerator market, with roughly 80-85% share amid explosive data center demand, underpins the near-certain market consensus that it will hold the top market-cap spot at July's end. Strong Blackwell platform adoption and sustained hyperscaler spending have offset periodic valuation pressures from AI buildout cost concerns, allowing NVIDIA to reclaim and defend leadership over Apple and Microsoft despite brief July fluctuations. Traders view the company's execution edge and expanding total addressable market as durable through month-end. Potential disruptors include sharper-than-expected competitor gains from custom silicon or an abrupt slowdown in enterprise AI budgets, though current momentum makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Jul 30 2026
Microsoft Stock Surges 15% in Historic Single-Day Market Cap Gain
Microsoft plunges to 0%23%
Following a strong Q4 FY2026 earnings report with Azure crossing $100 billion in annual revenue, Microsoft’s stock surged over 15%, adding approximately $450 billion in market value, the largest single-day gain in history.
Jul 30 2026
Microsoft posts historic market cap surge after earnings report
On July 30, 2026, Microsoft’s stock surged over 15%, adding nearly $500 billion in market capitalization in a single day following a strong earnings report that alleviated investor concerns about AI investments and cash flow.
Jul 30 2026
Apple Hits $5 Trillion Market Cap Amid Strategic Pricing Decisions
Apple's market capitalization surpassed $5 trillion driven by stable iPhone pricing and increased shipments, marking it as the second company ever to reach this milestone, shortly before Tim Cook's final earnings call as CEO.
Jul 30 2026
Microsoft Reports Strong Q4 FY26 Results, Stock Jumps Nearly 9%
Microsoft's Q4 FY2026 earnings beat expectations with Azure revenue crossing $100 billion annually, leading to a nearly 9% stock price increase and reinforcing investor confidence in AI and cloud growth.
Jul 30 2026
Apple CEO Tim Cook's final earnings call marks leadership transition
Apple’s Q3 2026 earnings call on July 30, 2026, was Tim Cook’s last as CEO, marking a significant leadership transition to John Ternus and influencing investor confidence and stock valuation.
Jul 29 2026
Nvidia shares fall nearly 5% amid market challenges and AI investment scrutiny
NVIDIA drops to 9%13%
On July 29, 2026, Nvidia’s shares dropped nearly 5% to $196.51 amid concerns about the sustainability of its AI capital expenditures and market valuation, reflecting investor caution despite strong revenue growth in AI data center chips.
Jul 29 2026
Microsoft reports strong Q4 FY26 earnings, shares jump
Microsoft's Q4 FY26 earnings beat expectations with Azure crossing $100 billion annual revenue, leading to a $260 billion market cap increase and a stock price rally despite sector volatility.
Jul 29 2026
Amazon Expected to Raise 2026 Capital Expenditure Guidance After Alphabet's Increase
Amazon plunges to 0%22%
Following Alphabet's increase in full-year 2026 capex guidance, Amazon is anticipated to raise its own AI-related capital expenditure forecast during its Q2 earnings report on July 30, reflecting ongoing investment in AI infrastructure.
Jul 28 2026
Apple briefly hits $5 trillion market cap amid strong iPhone demand
Apple surges to 90%20%
Apple's market capitalization briefly surpassed $5 trillion on July 28, 2026, driven by strong iPhone 17 demand, a device-first AI strategy, and regulatory approval in China, positioning Apple as a close competitor to Nvidia for the largest company title.
Jul 28 2026
Apple briefly surpasses $5 trillion market cap, becoming second company to do so
Apple plunges to 25%54%
Apple's market capitalization briefly exceeded $5 trillion on July 28, 2026, driven by strong iPhone demand, strategic pricing decisions, and anticipation of CEO Tim Cook's final earnings call. This milestone marked Apple as only the second company after NVIDIA to reach this valuation.
Jul 27 2026
Apple Reclaims Title as World's Most Valuable Company with $4.94 Trillion Market Cap
Apple jumps to 20%8%
Apple's stock rose to a new all-time high, pushing its market capitalization to approximately $4.94 trillion, briefly surpassing Nvidia and reclaiming the top spot due to strong iPhone demand and a device-first AI strategy.
Jul 27 2026
Apple stock surges amid $5 trillion market cap milestone anticipation
Apple surges to 76%53%
Apple's stock surged on July 27, 2026, driven by investor excitement ahead of the company briefly crossing the $5 trillion market cap mark and the upcoming CEO transition.
Jul 27 2026
Apple reclaims title of world's most valuable company from Nvidia
Apple surges to 79%55%
On July 27, 2026, Apple’s market cap rose to roughly $4.94 trillion, surpassing Nvidia’s $4.83 trillion, driven by investor preference for companies with restrained AI spending. This marked a shift in leadership after Nvidia had held the top spot since June 2025.
Jul 27 2026
Apple reclaims world's largest market cap with record closing highs
Apple dips to 25%4%
On July 27, 2026, Apple closed at an all-time high, lifting its market capitalization to approximately $4.93–$4.95 trillion, briefly surpassing NVIDIA and ending NVIDIA’s 272-day run as the largest U.S. company by market value.
Jul 23 2026
Alphabet stock slides 7% after raising 2026 capital expenditure guidance
Alphabet drops to 4%8%
On July 23, 2026, Alphabet’s stock dropped 7.13% to $317.69 after the company raised its AI-related capital spending forecast for 2026, signaling aggressive investment ahead. Investors reacted negatively due to concerns over the impact of high AI spending on profitability.
Jul 23 2026
Tesla stock plunges 14.5% after Q2 earnings miss and margin concerns
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Following Tesla's Q2 2026 earnings release, the stock dropped sharply due to a miss on earnings per share and concerns over AI and robotics spending impacting profitability, wiping out significant market value.
Jul 22 2026
Tesla Q2 2026 Earnings Miss Triggers Massive Market Cap Wipeout
Tesla plunges to 0%78%
Tesla reported record revenue and deliveries but missed earnings expectations due to high costs from AI and robotics investments, causing a 14.5% stock price drop and a $140 billion market cap loss in one day.
Jul 22 2026
Tesla stock plunges 14.5% after Q2 earnings miss and margin concerns
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Tesla’s shares dropped sharply on July 23, 2026, following a Q2 earnings report that showed strong revenue but significant margin compression due to AI and robotics investments, leading to a loss of over $140 billion in market cap in one day.
Jul 22 2026
Tesla reports Q2 earnings with revenue growth but profit decline
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Tesla's Q2 2026 earnings showed 16% revenue growth to $22.4 billion but a 57% drop in operating profit, leading to a $200 billion market cap decline amid increased AI and robotics investments, weakening its position in the market.
Jul 21 2026
Nvidia reports strong Q2 revenue guidance and AI chip demand
Nvidia's stock traded near record highs with a market cap around $5.05 trillion, supported by robust AI infrastructure demand and $91 billion revenue guidance for Q2. This reinforced Nvidia's position as the world's largest company by market cap in July 2026.
Jul 18 2026
Alphabet maintains strong revenue growth but faces high capex pressure
Alphabet plunges to 0%42%
Alphabet reported $109.9 billion in Q1 2026 revenue with 63% cloud growth, but increased AI infrastructure spending raised capital expenditures to $180-190 billion for 2026, pressuring free cash flow and stock performance.
Jul 16 2026
Chinese regulators approve Apple Intelligence features in China
Apple surges to 38%26%
Chinese regulatory clearance for Apple's AI features with local partners boosted investor confidence, contributing to Apple's stock rally and market cap growth approaching $5 trillion.
Jul 16 2026
Jim Cramer highlights Broadcom as market turn indicator amid AI spending
Broadcom plunges to 0%23%
Jim Cramer identified Broadcom as a bellwether stock for hyperscaler AI spending and market direction in early July 2026, influencing investor sentiment and price movements in the semiconductor sector.
Jul 14 2026
Nvidia loses nearly $1 trillion in market cap over two months
Between mid-May and early July 2026, Nvidia's market cap declined by nearly $1 trillion, reflecting a significant correction after a peak valuation of approximately $5.5 trillion, impacting its stock price and market position temporarily.
Jul 14 2026
Saudi Aramco Base Oil hits 52-week high amid strong demand
On July 14, 2026, Saudi Aramco Base Oil stock reached a 52-week high after a 7-day winning streak, reflecting strong demand and positive market sentiment despite broader oil price volatility.
Jul 9 2026
Jim Cramer highlights Broadcom as market indicator for tech sector
Broadcom plunges to 0%23%
Jim Cramer identified Broadcom as a bellwether semiconductor stock signaling market turns, with its Q2 2026 earnings and hyperscaler AI spending trends closely watched by investors for sector health indications.
Jul 6 2026
Saudi Aramco Cuts Oil Prices Amid Market Weakness
Saudi Aramco drops to 0%13%
Saudi Aramco announced its largest oil price cut in decades, lowering Arab Light oil prices by $11 a barrel for Asian buyers, reflecting increased global supply and heightened competition, impacting its stock price and market cap.
Jul 6 2026
Apple stock rises on anticipation of iPhone 18 release and CEO transition
Apple drops to 12%6%
Apple's stock rose over 13% year-to-date by early July 2026, fueled by strong earnings in 2025, upcoming iPhone 18 launch, and Tim Cook's planned CEO departure, boosting investor optimism.
Jul 2 2026
US labor market shows signs of cooling in June 2026
The US economy added only 57,000 jobs in June 2026, below expectations, signaling a potential weakening labor market that could influence Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and broader economic conditions affecting market valuations.
Jul 2 2026
Tesla reports strong Q2 deliveries but warns on AI spending costs
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Tesla announced record vehicle deliveries in Q2 2026, but heavy AI and robotics investments pressured earnings, leading to a sharp stock decline and significant market cap loss in July.
«Крупнейшая компания на конец июля?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «NVIDIA» с 100%, за ним следует «Tesla» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.
На сегодняшний день «Крупнейшая компания на конец июля?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $7.8 million с момента запуска рынка Jun 24, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.
Чтобы торговать на «Крупнейшая компания на конец июля?», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.
Текущий фаворит для «Крупнейшая компания на конец июля?» — «NVIDIA» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Tesla» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.
Правила разрешения «Крупнейшая компания на конец июля?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.
Да. Тебе не нужно торговать, чтобы оставаться в курсе. Эта страница служит трекером в реальном времени для «Крупнейшая компания на конец июля?». Вероятности исходов обновляются в реальном времени по мере поступления новых сделок. Ты можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки и читать раздел комментариев, чтобы узнать мнение других трейдеров. Ты также можешь использовать фильтры временного диапазона на графике, чтобы увидеть, как менялись коэффициенты со временем.
Коэффициенты Polymarket устанавливаются реальными трейдерами, вкладывающими реальные деньги в свои убеждения, что обычно приводит к точным прогнозам. С объёмом торгов $7.8 million по “Крупнейшая компания на конец июля?” эти цены агрегируют коллективные знания и убеждённость тысяч участников — часто превосходя опросы, экспертные прогнозы и традиционные исследования. Рынки прогнозов, такие как Polymarket, имеют сильный послужной список точности, особенно когда события приближаются к дате разрешения. Например, месячный показатель точности Polymarket составляет 94%. Для получения последних статистических данных о точности прогнозов Polymarket посети страницу точности на Polymarket.
Чтобы совершить первую сделку на «Крупнейшая компания на конец июля?», зарегистрируй бесплатный аккаунт на Polymarket и пополни его с помощью криптовалюты, кредитной или дебетовой карты или банковского перевода. После пополнения аккаунта вернись на эту страницу, выбери исход, на который хочешь торговать, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты новичок на рынках прогнозов, нажми на ссылку «Как это работает» вверху любой страницы Polymarket для пошагового руководства.
На Polymarket цена каждого исхода представляет подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Цена 100¢ для «NVIDIA» на рынке «Крупнейшая компания на конец июля?» означает, что трейдеры коллективно оценивают вероятность того, что «NVIDIA» будет правильным результатом, примерно в 100%. Если ты купишь акции «Да» по 100¢ и исход окажется правильным, ты получишь $1,00 за акцию — прибыль 0¢ за акцию. Если нет — эти акции будут стоить $0.
Рынок «Крупнейшая компания на конец июля?» разрешён. Окончательный результат определён, и рынок больше не открыт для торговли. Ты можешь просмотреть исторические коэффициенты, вероятности исходов и комментарии на этой странице.
Рынок «Крупнейшая компания на конец июля?» имеет активное сообщество из 1,515 комментариев, где трейдеры делятся своим анализом, обсуждают исходы и последние события. Прокрути вниз до раздела комментариев, чтобы прочитать, что думают другие участники. Ты также можешь фильтровать по «Топ-держателям» или проверить вкладку «Активность» для ленты сделок в реальном времени.
Polymarket — крупнейший в мире рынок прогнозов, где ты можешь оставаться в курсе событий и зарабатывать на своих знаниях о реальных событиях. Трейдеры покупают и продают акции на исходы по темам от политики и выборов до криптовалют, финансов, спорта, технологий и культуры, включая рынки вроде «Крупнейшая компания на конец июля?». Цены отражают вероятности в реальном времени, подкреплённые финансовыми убеждениями, зачастую обеспечивая более быстрые и точные сигналы, чем опросы, эксперты или традиционные исследования.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы