Persistent March 2026 CPI inflation at 3.3% annually—the highest since May 2024—has driven trader sentiment toward potential Federal Reserve rate hikes, reversing earlier easing expectations despite the FOMC's April 29 decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid internal dissent. Labor markets remain resilient, with unemployment at 4.3% and nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs, supporting a cautious policy stance as core inflation exceeds the 2% target. CME FedWatch futures imply rising probabilities for a 25 basis point hike by year-end 2026, reflecting aggregated capital at risk. Key catalysts include April CPI data on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate the policy path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$144,567 Объем
9 дек. 2026 г.
Июньское заседание
1%
Июльское заседание
6%
Сентябрьское заседание
17%
Октябрьское заседание
16%
$144,567 Объем
Июньское заседание
$12,062 Объем
1%
Июльское заседание
$755 Объем
6%
Сентябрьское заседание
$49 Объем
17%
Октябрьское заседание
$392 Объем
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent March 2026 CPI inflation at 3.3% annually—the highest since May 2024—has driven trader sentiment toward potential Federal Reserve rate hikes, reversing earlier easing expectations despite the FOMC's April 29 decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid internal dissent. Labor markets remain resilient, with unemployment at 4.3% and nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs, supporting a cautious policy stance as core inflation exceeds the 2% target. CME FedWatch futures imply rising probabilities for a 25 basis point hike by year-end 2026, reflecting aggregated capital at risk. Key catalysts include April CPI data on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate the policy path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Объем
$144,567Дата окончания
29 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent March 2026 CPI inflation at 3.3% annually—the highest since May 2024—has driven trader sentiment toward potential Federal Reserve rate hikes, reversing earlier easing expectations despite the FOMC's April 29 decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid internal dissent. Labor markets remain resilient, with unemployment at 4.3% and nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs, supporting a cautious policy stance as core inflation exceeds the 2% target. CME FedWatch futures imply rising probabilities for a 25 basis point hike by year-end 2026, reflecting aggregated capital at risk. Key catalysts include April CPI data on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate the policy path.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$144,567Дата окончания
29 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent March 2026 CPI inflation at 3.3% annually—the highest since May 2024—has driven trader sentiment toward potential Federal Reserve rate hikes, reversing earlier easing expectations despite the FOMC's April 29 decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid internal dissent. Labor markets remain resilient, with unemployment at 4.3% and nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs, supporting a cautious policy stance as core inflation exceeds the 2% target. CME FedWatch futures imply rising probabilities for a 25 basis point hike by year-end 2026, reflecting aggregated capital at risk. Key catalysts include April CPI data on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate the policy path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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