Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61% implied probability on SpaceX achieving a $1.75-2.00 trillion IPO valuation, driven by the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting that range for a June listing—the largest public offering in history. Starlink's surging subscriber growth and profitability, alongside $24.8 billion in cash reserves and $92 billion in assets revealed in filings, underpin the premium valuation multiples, far exceeding peers despite $15 billion annual revenue. Recent tender offers escalated from $800 billion in late 2025, fueled by launch dominance and AI capex investments exceeding $20 billion. Lower brackets reflect risks from market volatility and SEC review, with roadshows as the key near-term catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?
Какова будет оценка IPO SpaceX?
1,75–2,00 трлн 61%
2,00–2,25 трлн 28%
2,25–2,50 трлн 7.7%
2,50T+ 5.3%
$133,285 Объем
$133,285 Объем
<1,25 трлн
1%
1,25–1,50 трлн
4%
1,50-1,75 трлн
20%
1,75–2,00 трлн
61%
2,00–2,25 трлн
28%
2,25–2,50 трлн
8%
2,50T+
5%
1,75–2,00 трлн 61%
2,00–2,25 трлн 28%
2,25–2,50 трлн 7.7%
2,50T+ 5.3%
$133,285 Объем
$133,285 Объем
<1,25 трлн
$60,323 Объем
1%
1,25–1,50 трлн
$16,039 Объем
4%
1,50-1,75 трлн
$9,240 Объем
20%
1,75–2,00 трлн
$12,910 Объем
61%
2,00–2,25 трлн
$13,938 Объем
28%
2,25–2,50 трлн
$10,055 Объем
8%
2,50T+
$10,779 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61% implied probability on SpaceX achieving a $1.75-2.00 trillion IPO valuation, driven by the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting that range for a June listing—the largest public offering in history. Starlink's surging subscriber growth and profitability, alongside $24.8 billion in cash reserves and $92 billion in assets revealed in filings, underpin the premium valuation multiples, far exceeding peers despite $15 billion annual revenue. Recent tender offers escalated from $800 billion in late 2025, fueled by launch dominance and AI capex investments exceeding $20 billion. Lower brackets reflect risks from market volatility and SEC review, with roadshows as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Объем
$133,285Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61% implied probability on SpaceX achieving a $1.75-2.00 trillion IPO valuation, driven by the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting that range for a June listing—the largest public offering in history. Starlink's surging subscriber growth and profitability, alongside $24.8 billion in cash reserves and $92 billion in assets revealed in filings, underpin the premium valuation multiples, far exceeding peers despite $15 billion annual revenue. Recent tender offers escalated from $800 billion in late 2025, fueled by launch dominance and AI capex investments exceeding $20 billion. Lower brackets reflect risks from market volatility and SEC review, with roadshows as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$133,285Открытие рынка
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 61% implied probability on SpaceX achieving a $1.75-2.00 trillion IPO valuation, driven by the company's April 2026 confidential S-1 filing targeting that range for a June listing—the largest public offering in history. Starlink's surging subscriber growth and profitability, alongside $24.8 billion in cash reserves and $92 billion in assets revealed in filings, underpin the premium valuation multiples, far exceeding peers despite $15 billion annual revenue. Recent tender offers escalated from $800 billion in late 2025, fueled by launch dominance and AI capex investments exceeding $20 billion. Lower brackets reflect risks from market volatility and SEC review, with roadshows as the key near-term catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы