Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at a near-certain 95.2% implied probability for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, reflecting skepticism that Elon Musk will hit all three 2026 milestones: surpassing $1 trillion net worth per Bloomberg Billionaires Index, announcing another child, and achieving 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reaching 62-mile altitude. Midway through the year, Musk's fortune lingers around $800–840 billion amid Tesla shares slumping to the $430s on softening electric vehicle demand and Full Self-Driving (FSD) robotaxi regulatory delays, while only a handful of Starship flights have succeeded amid FAA hurdles pushing Flight 12 into mid-May, and no credible reports of a new baby have surfaced since his 14th child. Realistic shifts could arise from surprise FSD approvals sparking a Tesla rally toward trillionaire status, accelerated Starship cadence post-Flight 12, or an unexpected family announcement, though historical execution delays in autonomous driving approvals and launch timelines temper such optimism.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПарлей Elon Bull Run
Парлей Elon Bull Run
Да
$10,235 Объем
$10,235 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$10,235 Объем
$10,235 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at a near-certain 95.2% implied probability for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, reflecting skepticism that Elon Musk will hit all three 2026 milestones: surpassing $1 trillion net worth per Bloomberg Billionaires Index, announcing another child, and achieving 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reaching 62-mile altitude. Midway through the year, Musk's fortune lingers around $800–840 billion amid Tesla shares slumping to the $430s on softening electric vehicle demand and Full Self-Driving (FSD) robotaxi regulatory delays, while only a handful of Starship flights have succeeded amid FAA hurdles pushing Flight 12 into mid-May, and no credible reports of a new baby have surfaced since his 14th child. Realistic shifts could arise from surprise FSD approvals sparking a Tesla rally toward trillionaire status, accelerated Starship cadence post-Flight 12, or an unexpected family announcement, though historical execution delays in autonomous driving approvals and launch timelines temper such optimism.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Объем
$10,235Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at a near-certain 95.2% implied probability for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, reflecting skepticism that Elon Musk will hit all three 2026 milestones: surpassing $1 trillion net worth per Bloomberg Billionaires Index, announcing another child, and achieving 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reaching 62-mile altitude. Midway through the year, Musk's fortune lingers around $800–840 billion amid Tesla shares slumping to the $430s on softening electric vehicle demand and Full Self-Driving (FSD) robotaxi regulatory delays, while only a handful of Starship flights have succeeded amid FAA hurdles pushing Flight 12 into mid-May, and no credible reports of a new baby have surfaced since his 14th child. Realistic shifts could arise from surprise FSD approvals sparking a Tesla rally toward trillionaire status, accelerated Starship cadence post-Flight 12, or an unexpected family announcement, though historical execution delays in autonomous driving approvals and launch timelines temper such optimism.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Объем
$10,235Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at a near-certain 95.2% implied probability for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, reflecting skepticism that Elon Musk will hit all three 2026 milestones: surpassing $1 trillion net worth per Bloomberg Billionaires Index, announcing another child, and achieving 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reaching 62-mile altitude. Midway through the year, Musk's fortune lingers around $800–840 billion amid Tesla shares slumping to the $430s on softening electric vehicle demand and Full Self-Driving (FSD) robotaxi regulatory delays, while only a handful of Starship flights have succeeded amid FAA hurdles pushing Flight 12 into mid-May, and no credible reports of a new baby have surfaced since his 14th child. Realistic shifts could arise from surprise FSD approvals sparking a Tesla rally toward trillionaire status, accelerated Starship cadence post-Flight 12, or an unexpected family announcement, though historical execution delays in autonomous driving approvals and launch timelines temper such optimism.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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