xAI has yet to release Grok 5 as of early April 2026, despite Elon Musk's November 2025 announcement shifting the large language model timeline from late 2025 to Q1 2026 for additional training on the expanded Colossus 2 supercluster, now scaling to 1.5 gigawatts. Repeated delays in prior versions like Grok 4.2 have fostered trader skepticism around xAI's aggressive roadmaps, even as Grok achieves traffic highs and benchmark leads over rivals like ChatGPT. Recent focus on Grok Imagine's Quality mode rollout and Text-to-Speech API underscores iterative improvements to existing models. Upcoming Q2 catalysts, including potential Colossus expansions and competitive GPT-5.5 pressure, could accelerate or further postpone the model release pivotal for xAI's AGI ambitions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоGrok 5 выпустил...?
Grok 5 выпустил...?
$131,344 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
30 июня 2026 года
15%
$131,344 Объем
30 июня 2026 года
$22,127 Объем
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g. Grok 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4 similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g. Grok 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4 similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g. Grok 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4 similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.xAI has yet to release Grok 5 as of early April 2026, despite Elon Musk's November 2025 announcement shifting the large language model timeline from late 2025 to Q1 2026 for additional training on the expanded Colossus 2 supercluster, now scaling to 1.5 gigawatts. Repeated delays in prior versions like Grok 4.2 have fostered trader skepticism around xAI's aggressive roadmaps, even as Grok achieves traffic highs and benchmark leads over rivals like ChatGPT. Recent focus on Grok Imagine's Quality mode rollout and Text-to-Speech API underscores iterative improvements to existing models. Upcoming Q2 catalysts, including potential Colossus expansions and competitive GPT-5.5 pressure, could accelerate or further postpone the model release pivotal for xAI's AGI ambitions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g. Grok 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4 similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g. Grok 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4 similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Объем
$131,344Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g. Grok 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4 similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g. Grok 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4 similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g. Grok 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4 similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.xAI has yet to release Grok 5 as of early April 2026, despite Elon Musk's November 2025 announcement shifting the large language model timeline from late 2025 to Q1 2026 for additional training on the expanded Colossus 2 supercluster, now scaling to 1.5 gigawatts. Repeated delays in prior versions like Grok 4.2 have fostered trader skepticism around xAI's aggressive roadmaps, even as Grok achieves traffic highs and benchmark leads over rivals like ChatGPT. Recent focus on Grok Imagine's Quality mode rollout and Text-to-Speech API underscores iterative improvements to existing models. Upcoming Q2 catalysts, including potential Colossus expansions and competitive GPT-5.5 pressure, could accelerate or further postpone the model release pivotal for xAI's AGI ambitions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g. Grok 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4 similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g. Grok 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4 similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$131,344Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI has yet to release Grok 5 as of early April 2026, despite Elon Musk's November 2025 announcement shifting the large language model timeline from late 2025 to Q1 2026 for additional training on the expanded Colossus 2 supercluster, now scaling to 1.5 gigawatts. Repeated delays in prior versions like Grok 4.2 have fostered trader skepticism around xAI's aggressive roadmaps, even as Grok achieves traffic highs and benchmark leads over rivals like ChatGPT. Recent focus on Grok Imagine's Quality mode rollout and Text-to-Speech API underscores iterative improvements to existing models. Upcoming Q2 catalysts, including potential Colossus expansions and competitive GPT-5.5 pressure, could accelerate or further postpone the model release pivotal for xAI's AGI ambitions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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