Goldman Sachs holds the edge at 50% implied probability as lead bank for a potential SpaceX IPO, driven by its longstanding role as a key advisor, including underwriting major debt and equity financings for the company since 2019. Morgan Stanley trails closely at 40%, bolstered by its deep ties to Elon Musk via Tesla's IPO and ongoing advisory work. Recent developments, including SpaceX's December 2024 tender offer valuing the firm at $350 billion and banker pitches amid Starlink spin-off speculation, have reinforced trader consensus on these bulge-bracket firms' dominance. Lower odds for Bank of America and others reflect weaker historical involvement in Musk's ecosystem, though no firm IPO timeline exists amid Musk's emphasis on operational milestones before public listing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоВедущий банк в IPO SpaceX?
Ведущий банк в IPO SpaceX?
Goldman Sachs 50%
Morgan Stanley 42%
Bank of America 2.6%
JPMorgan 1.6%
$1,014,516 Объем
$1,014,516 Объем

Goldman Sachs
50%

Morgan Stanley
42%

Bank of America
3%

JPMorgan
2%

Citigroup
1%

Barclays
<1%

UBS
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%
Goldman Sachs 50%
Morgan Stanley 42%
Bank of America 2.6%
JPMorgan 1.6%
$1,014,516 Объем
$1,014,516 Объем

Goldman Sachs
50%

Morgan Stanley
42%

Bank of America
3%

JPMorgan
2%

Citigroup
1%

Barclays
<1%

UBS
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Goldman Sachs holds the edge at 50% implied probability as lead bank for a potential SpaceX IPO, driven by its longstanding role as a key advisor, including underwriting major debt and equity financings for the company since 2019. Morgan Stanley trails closely at 40%, bolstered by its deep ties to Elon Musk via Tesla's IPO and ongoing advisory work. Recent developments, including SpaceX's December 2024 tender offer valuing the firm at $350 billion and banker pitches amid Starlink spin-off speculation, have reinforced trader consensus on these bulge-bracket firms' dominance. Lower odds for Bank of America and others reflect weaker historical involvement in Musk's ecosystem, though no firm IPO timeline exists amid Musk's emphasis on operational milestones before public listing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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