Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Morgan Stanley a 42.5% implied probability as lead bank for SpaceX's anticipated IPO, driven by its deep ties to Elon Musk via veteran banker Michael Grimes, who rejoined the firm in February 2026 specifically to spearhead the deal. Goldman Sachs trails at 28% and Bank of America at 17.8%, reflecting their senior roles in the 21-bank syndicate for Project Apex—a confidentially filed blockbuster targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise potentially by June. Recent catalysts include Musk's April 7 mandate for top underwriters to buy multimillion-dollar Grok AI subscriptions, underscoring xAI-SpaceX synergies for orbital data centers, alongside banks' plans to mitigate post-listing selloffs. Lower odds for JPMorgan and others stem from diluted prominence in the expanded roster; key watchpoints are the prospectus and roadshow amid syndicate dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВедущий банк в IPO SpaceX?
Ведущий банк в IPO SpaceX?
Morgan Stanley 43%
Goldman Sachs 29%
Bank of America 17.8%
JPMorgan 2.1%
$1,498,396 Объем
$1,498,396 Объем

Morgan Stanley
43%

Goldman Sachs
29%

Bank of America
18%

JPMorgan
2%

Citigroup
1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%

Barclays
<1%

UBS
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%
Morgan Stanley 43%
Goldman Sachs 29%
Bank of America 17.8%
JPMorgan 2.1%
$1,498,396 Объем
$1,498,396 Объем

Morgan Stanley
43%

Goldman Sachs
29%

Bank of America
18%

JPMorgan
2%

Citigroup
1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%

Barclays
<1%

UBS
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Morgan Stanley a 42.5% implied probability as lead bank for SpaceX's anticipated IPO, driven by its deep ties to Elon Musk via veteran banker Michael Grimes, who rejoined the firm in February 2026 specifically to spearhead the deal. Goldman Sachs trails at 28% and Bank of America at 17.8%, reflecting their senior roles in the 21-bank syndicate for Project Apex—a confidentially filed blockbuster targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise potentially by June. Recent catalysts include Musk's April 7 mandate for top underwriters to buy multimillion-dollar Grok AI subscriptions, underscoring xAI-SpaceX synergies for orbital data centers, alongside banks' plans to mitigate post-listing selloffs. Lower odds for JPMorgan and others stem from diluted prominence in the expanded roster; key watchpoints are the prospectus and roadshow amid syndicate dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы