Strava’s most recent $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 funding round, combined with a confidential S-1 filing and Goldman Sachs engagement early in 2026, anchors the highest implied probability on a 2–3 billion closing market cap. Trader consensus reflects the company’s 180 million-plus users, accelerating subscription revenue, and recent acquisitions such as Runna that bolster training features amid a broader running and fitness boom. Outcomes above 4 billion hinge on strong S-1 metrics and favorable consumer-tech sentiment at launch, while the 9 percent chance of no IPO before 2028 captures risks from market volatility or delayed profitability thresholds. Key swing factors include final ARR disclosure and IPO window timing relative to comparable fitness-platform debuts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2B–3B 35%
<2 mil millones 19%
4B–5B 9%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028 9%
$85,873 Vol.
$85,873 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<2 mil millones
19%
2B–3B
35%
$3 mil millones–$4 mil millones
5%
4B–5B
22%
$5 mil millones–$7 mil millones
4%
7 mil millones–10 mil millones
3%
10B–15B
6%
15 mil millones+
7%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028
9%
2B–3B 35%
<2 mil millones 19%
4B–5B 9%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028 9%
$85,873 Vol.
$85,873 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<2 mil millones
$794 Vol.
19%
2B–3B
$54,133 Vol.
35%
$3 mil millones–$4 mil millones
$24,966 Vol.
5%
4B–5B
$1,077 Vol.
22%
$5 mil millones–$7 mil millones
$829 Vol.
4%
7 mil millones–10 mil millones
$861 Vol.
3%
10B–15B
$1,539 Vol.
6%
15 mil millones+
$1,137 Vol.
7%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028
$536 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s most recent $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 funding round, combined with a confidential S-1 filing and Goldman Sachs engagement early in 2026, anchors the highest implied probability on a 2–3 billion closing market cap. Trader consensus reflects the company’s 180 million-plus users, accelerating subscription revenue, and recent acquisitions such as Runna that bolster training features amid a broader running and fitness boom. Outcomes above 4 billion hinge on strong S-1 metrics and favorable consumer-tech sentiment at launch, while the 9 percent chance of no IPO before 2028 captures risks from market volatility or delayed profitability thresholds. Key swing factors include final ARR disclosure and IPO window timing relative to comparable fitness-platform debuts.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volumen
$85,873Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s most recent $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 funding round, combined with a confidential S-1 filing and Goldman Sachs engagement early in 2026, anchors the highest implied probability on a 2–3 billion closing market cap. Trader consensus reflects the company’s 180 million-plus users, accelerating subscription revenue, and recent acquisitions such as Runna that bolster training features amid a broader running and fitness boom. Outcomes above 4 billion hinge on strong S-1 metrics and favorable consumer-tech sentiment at launch, while the 9 percent chance of no IPO before 2028 captures risks from market volatility or delayed profitability thresholds. Key swing factors include final ARR disclosure and IPO window timing relative to comparable fitness-platform debuts.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$85,873Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Strava’s most recent $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 funding round, combined with a confidential S-1 filing and Goldman Sachs engagement early in 2026, anchors the highest implied probability on a 2–3 billion closing market cap. Trader consensus reflects the company’s 180 million-plus users, accelerating subscription revenue, and recent acquisitions such as Runna that bolster training features amid a broader running and fitness boom. Outcomes above 4 billion hinge on strong S-1 metrics and favorable consumer-tech sentiment at launch, while the 9 percent chance of no IPO before 2028 captures risks from market volatility or delayed profitability thresholds. Key swing factors include final ARR disclosure and IPO window timing relative to comparable fitness-platform debuts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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