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icon for Deel IPO by March 31?

Deel IPO by March 31?

icon for Deel IPO by March 31?

Deel IPO by March 31?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$25,260 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$25,260 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deel completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Deel merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for "No" on a Deel IPO by March 31, 2026, as the deadline passed without an S-1 registration filing with the SEC or any public listing on NYSE or Nasdaq. Deel, a leading HR tech platform for global payroll and workforce compliance, had signaled preparations through revenue growth to over $1 billion annual run rate, a $300 million funding round at $17.3 billion valuation in late 2025, and key hires like former Intuit CFO Joe Kauffman. However, a U.S. Department of Justice criminal investigation launched in January 2026 into allegations of corporate espionage against rival Rippling, coupled with ongoing civil RICO litigation, likely stalled progress amid regulatory scrutiny and market volatility. With no last-minute catalysts emerging, resolution appears certain barring rare SEC reinterpretation of filings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deel completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources.

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If Deel merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$25,260
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 8, 2026, 1:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deel completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Deel merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deel completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Deel merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for "No" on a Deel IPO by March 31, 2026, as the deadline passed without an S-1 registration filing with the SEC or any public listing on NYSE or Nasdaq. Deel, a leading HR tech platform for global payroll and workforce compliance, had signaled preparations through revenue growth to over $1 billion annual run rate, a $300 million funding round at $17.3 billion valuation in late 2025, and key hires like former Intuit CFO Joe Kauffman. However, a U.S. Department of Justice criminal investigation launched in January 2026 into allegations of corporate espionage against rival Rippling, coupled with ongoing civil RICO litigation, likely stalled progress amid regulatory scrutiny and market volatility. With no last-minute catalysts emerging, resolution appears certain barring rare SEC reinterpretation of filings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deel completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources.

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If Deel merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$25,260
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 8, 2026, 1:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deel completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Deel merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Deel IPO by March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Deel IPO by March 31?" has generated $25.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Deel IPO by March 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Deel IPO by March 31?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Deel IPO by March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.