Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing above $2 trillion at 47% implied probability, driven by Bloomberg reports from late March 2026 indicating an imminent confidential S-1 filing this week for a potential June listing targeting over $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest ever—with a $75 billion raise. Surging Starlink adoption, exceeding 9 million subscribers and generating $10 billion-plus in 2025 revenue amid rapid constellation expansion, underpins the optimism, amplified by February's all-stock xAI merger integrating Grok AI capabilities with reusable rockets and satellite broadband. Recent tender offers valued the firm at $1.4 trillion, but profitability questions linger amid $15-16 billion 2025 revenues; key catalysts include SEC clearance and public market reception.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКапитализация закрытия IPO SpaceX (более низкие забастовки)
Капитализация закрытия IPO SpaceX (более низкие забастовки)
2,0+ трлн 47%
1,8–2,0 трлн 24%
1,6–1,8 трлн 9.4%
1,4–1,6 трлн 5.9%
$637,542 Объем
$637,542 Объем
Dec 31, 2027
Нет IPO до 2028 года
4%
<1,0 трлн
4%
1,0–1,2 трлн
4%
1,2T–1,4T
3%
1,4–1,6 трлн
6%
1,6–1,8 трлн
9%
1,8–2,0 трлн
24%
2,0+ трлн
47%
2,0+ трлн 47%
1,8–2,0 трлн 24%
1,6–1,8 трлн 9.4%
1,4–1,6 трлн 5.9%
$637,542 Объем
$637,542 Объем
Dec 31, 2027
Нет IPO до 2028 года
$138,865 Объем
4%
<1,0 трлн
$36,721 Объем
4%
1,0–1,2 трлн
$24,796 Объем
4%
1,2T–1,4T
$48,913 Объем
3%
1,4–1,6 трлн
$96,259 Объем
6%
1,6–1,8 трлн
$92,597 Объем
9%
1,8–2,0 трлн
$63,271 Объем
24%
2,0+ трлн
$136,120 Объем
47%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing above $2 trillion at 47% implied probability, driven by Bloomberg reports from late March 2026 indicating an imminent confidential S-1 filing this week for a potential June listing targeting over $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest ever—with a $75 billion raise. Surging Starlink adoption, exceeding 9 million subscribers and generating $10 billion-plus in 2025 revenue amid rapid constellation expansion, underpins the optimism, amplified by February's all-stock xAI merger integrating Grok AI capabilities with reusable rockets and satellite broadband. Recent tender offers valued the firm at $1.4 trillion, but profitability questions linger amid $15-16 billion 2025 revenues; key catalysts include SEC clearance and public market reception.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Объем
$637,542Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2027Открытие рынка
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing above $2 trillion at 47% implied probability, driven by Bloomberg reports from late March 2026 indicating an imminent confidential S-1 filing this week for a potential June listing targeting over $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest ever—with a $75 billion raise. Surging Starlink adoption, exceeding 9 million subscribers and generating $10 billion-plus in 2025 revenue amid rapid constellation expansion, underpins the optimism, amplified by February's all-stock xAI merger integrating Grok AI capabilities with reusable rockets and satellite broadband. Recent tender offers valued the firm at $1.4 trillion, but profitability questions linger amid $15-16 billion 2025 revenues; key catalysts include SEC clearance and public market reception.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$637,542Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2027Открытие рынка
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing above $2 trillion at 47% implied probability, driven by Bloomberg reports from late March 2026 indicating an imminent confidential S-1 filing this week for a potential June listing targeting over $1.75 trillion valuation—the largest ever—with a $75 billion raise. Surging Starlink adoption, exceeding 9 million subscribers and generating $10 billion-plus in 2025 revenue amid rapid constellation expansion, underpins the optimism, amplified by February's all-stock xAI merger integrating Grok AI capabilities with reusable rockets and satellite broadband. Recent tender offers valued the firm at $1.4 trillion, but profitability questions linger amid $15-16 billion 2025 revenues; key catalysts include SEC clearance and public market reception.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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