Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX achieving a closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion at 46% implied probability, driven by fresh reports from Bloomberg and The Information indicating an imminent confidential IPO filing this week for a mid-June 2026 debut, targeting a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation and $75 billion raise—the largest ever. Starlink's explosive satellite internet growth, now powering global broadband with millions of users and projected $24 billion earnings, alongside record Falcon 9 launch cadence and Starship orbital milestones, underpin this lofty pricing amid surging private share values near $600. Lower brackets trail due to historical Musk delays, but no pre-2028 IPO odds sit low at 3.4% given accelerating regulatory filings and banker involvement from Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan; watch for S-1 confirmation as the key near-term catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКапитализация закрытия IPO SpaceX (более низкие забастовки)
Капитализация закрытия IPO SpaceX (более низкие забастовки)
2,0+ трлн 46%
1,8–2,0 трлн 22%
1,6–1,8 трлн 9.4%
1,4–1,6 трлн 6.0%
$641,884 Объем
$641,884 Объем
Dec 31, 2027
Нет IPO до 2028 года
3%
<1,0 трлн
4%
1,0–1,2 трлн
4%
1,2T–1,4T
3%
1,4–1,6 трлн
6%
1,6–1,8 трлн
9%
1,8–2,0 трлн
22%
2,0+ трлн
46%
2,0+ трлн 46%
1,8–2,0 трлн 22%
1,6–1,8 трлн 9.4%
1,4–1,6 трлн 6.0%
$641,884 Объем
$641,884 Объем
Dec 31, 2027
Нет IPO до 2028 года
$139,479 Объем
3%
<1,0 трлн
$36,896 Объем
4%
1,0–1,2 трлн
$24,826 Объем
4%
1,2T–1,4T
$48,943 Объем
3%
1,4–1,6 трлн
$96,317 Объем
6%
1,6–1,8 трлн
$92,657 Объем
9%
1,8–2,0 трлн
$63,577 Объем
22%
2,0+ трлн
$139,189 Объем
46%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX achieving a closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion at 46% implied probability, driven by fresh reports from Bloomberg and The Information indicating an imminent confidential IPO filing this week for a mid-June 2026 debut, targeting a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation and $75 billion raise—the largest ever. Starlink's explosive satellite internet growth, now powering global broadband with millions of users and projected $24 billion earnings, alongside record Falcon 9 launch cadence and Starship orbital milestones, underpin this lofty pricing amid surging private share values near $600. Lower brackets trail due to historical Musk delays, but no pre-2028 IPO odds sit low at 3.4% given accelerating regulatory filings and banker involvement from Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan; watch for S-1 confirmation as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Объем
$641,884Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2027Открытие рынка
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX achieving a closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion at 46% implied probability, driven by fresh reports from Bloomberg and The Information indicating an imminent confidential IPO filing this week for a mid-June 2026 debut, targeting a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation and $75 billion raise—the largest ever. Starlink's explosive satellite internet growth, now powering global broadband with millions of users and projected $24 billion earnings, alongside record Falcon 9 launch cadence and Starship orbital milestones, underpin this lofty pricing amid surging private share values near $600. Lower brackets trail due to historical Musk delays, but no pre-2028 IPO odds sit low at 3.4% given accelerating regulatory filings and banker involvement from Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan; watch for S-1 confirmation as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$641,884Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2027Открытие рынка
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX achieving a closing market cap exceeding $2 trillion at 46% implied probability, driven by fresh reports from Bloomberg and The Information indicating an imminent confidential IPO filing this week for a mid-June 2026 debut, targeting a $1.75 trillion-plus valuation and $75 billion raise—the largest ever. Starlink's explosive satellite internet growth, now powering global broadband with millions of users and projected $24 billion earnings, alongside record Falcon 9 launch cadence and Starship orbital milestones, underpin this lofty pricing amid surging private share values near $600. Lower brackets trail due to historical Musk delays, but no pre-2028 IPO odds sit low at 3.4% given accelerating regulatory filings and banker involvement from Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan; watch for S-1 confirmation as the key near-term catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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