SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing and reports targeting a June 2026 IPO at valuations between $1.5 trillion and over $2 trillion have driven the 62.5% implied probability on a closing market cap above $2 trillion. Traders cite accelerating Starlink subscriber growth, ongoing Starship flight-test progress toward full reusability, and strong secondary-market share prices near $645 as evidence that the company’s satellite constellation and launch services can support premium multiples. Recent private valuations reaching $1.51 trillion and plans to raise $50–75 billion reinforce expectations of a record-sized listing that could place SpaceX among the world’s largest public companies. With the offering window now weeks away, the market prices limited downside risk absent major regulatory or technical setbacks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКапитализация закрытия IPO SpaceX (более низкие забастовки)
Капитализация закрытия IPO SpaceX (более низкие забастовки)
2,0+ трлн 63%
1,8–2,0 трлн 11%
1,6–1,8 трлн 8.7%
1,4–1,6 трлн 5.9%
$948,991 Объем
$948,991 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
Нет IPO до 2028 года
2%
<1,0 трлн
5%
1,0–1,2 трлн
2%
1,2T–1,4T
3%
1,4–1,6 трлн
6%
1,6–1,8 трлн
9%
1,8–2,0 трлн
11%
2,0+ трлн
63%
2,0+ трлн 63%
1,8–2,0 трлн 11%
1,6–1,8 трлн 8.7%
1,4–1,6 трлн 5.9%
$948,991 Объем
$948,991 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
Нет IPO до 2028 года
$190,108 Объем
2%
<1,0 трлн
$76,854 Объем
5%
1,0–1,2 трлн
$54,098 Объем
2%
1,2T–1,4T
$71,493 Объем
3%
1,4–1,6 трлн
$116,324 Объем
6%
1,6–1,8 трлн
$119,292 Объем
9%
1,8–2,0 трлн
$106,509 Объем
11%
2,0+ трлн
$214,313 Объем
63%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing and reports targeting a June 2026 IPO at valuations between $1.5 trillion and over $2 trillion have driven the 62.5% implied probability on a closing market cap above $2 trillion. Traders cite accelerating Starlink subscriber growth, ongoing Starship flight-test progress toward full reusability, and strong secondary-market share prices near $645 as evidence that the company’s satellite constellation and launch services can support premium multiples. Recent private valuations reaching $1.51 trillion and plans to raise $50–75 billion reinforce expectations of a record-sized listing that could place SpaceX among the world’s largest public companies. With the offering window now weeks away, the market prices limited downside risk absent major regulatory or technical setbacks.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Объем
$948,991Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing and reports targeting a June 2026 IPO at valuations between $1.5 trillion and over $2 trillion have driven the 62.5% implied probability on a closing market cap above $2 trillion. Traders cite accelerating Starlink subscriber growth, ongoing Starship flight-test progress toward full reusability, and strong secondary-market share prices near $645 as evidence that the company’s satellite constellation and launch services can support premium multiples. Recent private valuations reaching $1.51 trillion and plans to raise $50–75 billion reinforce expectations of a record-sized listing that could place SpaceX among the world’s largest public companies. With the offering window now weeks away, the market prices limited downside risk absent major regulatory or technical setbacks.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$948,991Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing and reports targeting a June 2026 IPO at valuations between $1.5 trillion and over $2 trillion have driven the 62.5% implied probability on a closing market cap above $2 trillion. Traders cite accelerating Starlink subscriber growth, ongoing Starship flight-test progress toward full reusability, and strong secondary-market share prices near $645 as evidence that the company’s satellite constellation and launch services can support premium multiples. Recent private valuations reaching $1.51 trillion and plans to raise $50–75 billion reinforce expectations of a record-sized listing that could place SpaceX among the world’s largest public companies. With the offering window now weeks away, the market prices limited downside risk absent major regulatory or technical setbacks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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