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How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

Market icon

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

Mar 29

Apr 5

Mar 29

Apr 5

0 49%

1 33%

2 12%

5 9.9%

Polymarket
NEW

0 49%

1 33%

2 12%

5 9.9%

Polymarket
NEW

0

$666 Объем

49%

1

$332 Объем

33%

2

$454 Объем

12%

3

$167 Объем

10%

4

$141 Объем

5%

5

$311 Объем

10%

>5

$175 Объем

32%

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between March 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices zero magnitude 6.5+ earthquakes at 48.5% implied probability for March 30–April 5, reflecting USGS historical global rates of roughly one such event per week amid stable seismicity governed by plate tectonics and Gutenberg-Richter frequency-magnitude distribution. Recent USGS data shows elevated activity with four M6.5+ quakes—6.6 South Shetland Islands (March 20), 6.6 northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge (March 21), 7.5 Tonga (March 24), and 6.5 Japan (March 26)—clustered along Pacific subduction zones, yet no ongoing aftershock sequences or seismic swarms signal continuation into next week. Current global activity remains low per monitoring reports, supporting low-count outcomes while >5 (32.3%) captures tail risk from rare bursts; watch USGS catalog for real-time updates resolving the market.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices zero magnitude 6.5+ earthquakes at 48.5% implied probability for March 30–April 5, reflecting USGS historical global rates of roughly one such event per week amid stable seismicity governed by plate tectonics and Gutenberg-Richter frequency-magnitude distribution. Recent USGS data shows elevated activity with four M6.5+ quakes—6.6 South Shetland Islands (March 20), 6.6 northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge (March 21), 7.5 Tonga (March 24), and 6.5 Japan (March 26)—clustered along Pacific subduction zones, yet no ongoing aftershock sequences or seismic swarms signal continuation into next week. Current global activity remains low per monitoring reports, supporting low-count outcomes while >5 (32.3%) captures tail risk from rare bursts; watch USGS catalog for real-time updates resolving the market.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between March 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices zero magnitude 6.5+ earthquakes at 48.5% implied probability for March 30–April 5, reflecting USGS historical global rates of roughly one such event per week amid stable seismicity governed by plate tectonics and Gutenberg-Richter frequency-magnitude distribution. Recent USGS data shows elevated activity with four M6.5+ quakes—6.6 South Shetland Islands (March 20), 6.6 northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge (March 21), 7.5 Tonga (March 24), and 6.5 Japan (March 26)—clustered along Pacific subduction zones, yet no ongoing aftershock sequences or seismic swarms signal continuation into next week. Current global activity remains low per monitoring reports, supporting low-count outcomes while >5 (32.3%) captures tail risk from rare bursts; watch USGS catalog for real-time updates resolving the market.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices zero magnitude 6.5+ earthquakes at 48.5% implied probability for March 30–April 5, reflecting USGS historical global rates of roughly one such event per week amid stable seismicity governed by plate tectonics and Gutenberg-Richter frequency-magnitude distribution. Recent USGS data shows elevated activity with four M6.5+ quakes—6.6 South Shetland Islands (March 20), 6.6 northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge (March 21), 7.5 Tonga (March 24), and 6.5 Japan (March 26)—clustered along Pacific subduction zones, yet no ongoing aftershock sequences or seismic swarms signal continuation into next week. Current global activity remains low per monitoring reports, supporting low-count outcomes while >5 (32.3%) captures tail risk from rare bursts; watch USGS catalog for real-time updates resolving the market.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «0» с 49%, за ним следует «1» с 33%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 49¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Mar 27, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?» — «0» с 49%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Следующий ближайший исход — «1» с 33%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.