Trader consensus leans toward elevated measles case counts by March 31, propelled by the CDC's latest tally of 102 confirmed U.S. cases through March 28 across 16 jurisdictions, more than double 2023's full-year total of 58. The Chicago Pilsen outbreak, with over 60 cases linked to an unvaccinated traveler from Ukraine, exemplifies rapid spread in under-vaccinated communities where MMR coverage dips below the 95% herd immunity threshold. Official CDC surveillance via weekly MMWR reports drives updates, with final March 31 data expected early April; any late-week exposures could push totals higher amid heightened school and travel activity. Historical baselines underscore rarity, but current R0 of 12-18 amplifies outbreak risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСлучаи кори в США к 31 марта?
Случаи кори в США к 31 марта?
$199,230 Объем
1500
100%
1550
95%
1600
47%
1650
8%
1700
2%
$199,230 Объем
1500
100%
1550
95%
1600
47%
1650
8%
1700
2%
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Открытие рынка: Mar 2, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
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0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus leans toward elevated measles case counts by March 31, propelled by the CDC's latest tally of 102 confirmed U.S. cases through March 28 across 16 jurisdictions, more than double 2023's full-year total of 58. The Chicago Pilsen outbreak, with over 60 cases linked to an unvaccinated traveler from Ukraine, exemplifies rapid spread in under-vaccinated communities where MMR coverage dips below the 95% herd immunity threshold. Official CDC surveillance via weekly MMWR reports drives updates, with final March 31 data expected early April; any late-week exposures could push totals higher amid heightened school and travel activity. Historical baselines underscore rarity, but current R0 of 12-18 amplifies outbreak risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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