CDC's March 28 update reports 102 confirmed measles cases across 16 U.S. jurisdictions this year, primarily among unvaccinated individuals in outbreaks like Chicago's Pilsen neighborhood (58 cases) and Florida, driving trader consensus toward higher totals exceeding 100 by March 31. This surge reflects declining MMR vaccination rates below the 95% herd immunity threshold in pockets of under-immunized communities, where measles' high contagiousness (R0 of 12-18) fuels rapid spread. Cases accrue with reporting lags, so final March 31 tallies may rise slightly; watch CDC's next weekly surveillance summary around April 4 for resolution clarity, as preliminary counts could shift market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСлучаи кори в США к 31 марта?
Случаи кори в США к 31 марта?
$194,143 Объем
1500
100%
1550
94%
1600
45%
1650
7%
1700
3%
$194,143 Объем
1500
100%
1550
94%
1600
45%
1650
7%
1700
3%
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Открытие рынка: Mar 2, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...CDC's March 28 update reports 102 confirmed measles cases across 16 U.S. jurisdictions this year, primarily among unvaccinated individuals in outbreaks like Chicago's Pilsen neighborhood (58 cases) and Florida, driving trader consensus toward higher totals exceeding 100 by March 31. This surge reflects declining MMR vaccination rates below the 95% herd immunity threshold in pockets of under-immunized communities, where measles' high contagiousness (R0 of 12-18) fuels rapid spread. Cases accrue with reporting lags, so final March 31 tallies may rise slightly; watch CDC's next weekly surveillance summary around April 4 for resolution clarity, as preliminary counts could shift market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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