Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 94% implied probability for no new coronavirus pandemic in 2026, driven by the absence of any novel human-infecting coronaviruses with pandemic potential in global surveillance data from WHO and CDC monitoring networks. Enhanced zoonotic spillover detection, bolstered by post-COVID genomic sequencing and wastewater tracking, has identified no emerging strains exhibiting high transmissibility or severity akin to SARS-CoV-2. Population-level immunity from prior SARS-CoV-2 exposure further buffers against rapid escalation, with historical precedents like SARS (2003) and MERS showing multi-year gaps between events. Realistic challenges include an undetected animal reservoir spillover, such as from bats or civets, or rapid global travel amplifying a low-probability outbreak; ongoing epidemiological reports and WHO briefings through 2025 will refine this assessment.