NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands at final countdown for a no-earlier-than April 1, 2026, liftoff from Kennedy Space Center's Launch Complex 39B, driving strong trader sentiment toward near-term resolution. Recent Flight Readiness Review approval on March 12 resolved critical issues including a helium seal blockage, flight termination batteries, and umbilical seals, enabling SLS rollout on March 20 despite wind delays. L-1 and L-2 status conferences confirmed all systems go, with 80% favorable weather forecast. Primary launch window opens at 6:24 p.m. EDT today, followed by backups April 3–6 and 30; any scrub could test market-implied odds amid ongoing lunar program pressures from SpaceX Starship competition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоНАСА Артемида II
НАСА Артемида II
$717,501 Объем
31 мар. 2026 г.
30 апреля
89%
$717,501 Объем
30 апреля
$130,772 Объем
89%
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands at final countdown for a no-earlier-than April 1, 2026, liftoff from Kennedy Space Center's Launch Complex 39B, driving strong trader sentiment toward near-term resolution. Recent Flight Readiness Review approval on March 12 resolved critical issues including a helium seal blockage, flight termination batteries, and umbilical seals, enabling SLS rollout on March 20 despite wind delays. L-1 and L-2 status conferences confirmed all systems go, with 80% favorable weather forecast. Primary launch window opens at 6:24 p.m. EDT today, followed by backups April 3–6 and 30; any scrub could test market-implied odds amid ongoing lunar program pressures from SpaceX Starship competition.
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 5, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Объем
$717,501Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 5, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands at final countdown for a no-earlier-than April 1, 2026, liftoff from Kennedy Space Center's Launch Complex 39B, driving strong trader sentiment toward near-term resolution. Recent Flight Readiness Review approval on March 12 resolved critical issues including a helium seal blockage, flight termination batteries, and umbilical seals, enabling SLS rollout on March 20 despite wind delays. L-1 and L-2 status conferences confirmed all systems go, with 80% favorable weather forecast. Primary launch window opens at 6:24 p.m. EDT today, followed by backups April 3–6 and 30; any scrub could test market-implied odds amid ongoing lunar program pressures from SpaceX Starship competition.
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Объем
$717,501Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 5, 2026, 10:27 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands at final countdown for a no-earlier-than April 1, 2026, liftoff from Kennedy Space Center's Launch Complex 39B, driving strong trader sentiment toward near-term resolution. Recent Flight Readiness Review approval on March 12 resolved critical issues including a helium seal blockage, flight termination batteries, and umbilical seals, enabling SLS rollout on March 20 despite wind delays. L-1 and L-2 status conferences confirmed all systems go, with 80% favorable weather forecast. Primary launch window opens at 6:24 p.m. EDT today, followed by backups April 3–6 and 30; any scrub could test market-implied odds amid ongoing lunar program pressures from SpaceX Starship competition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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