Сколько запусков SpaceX Starship достигнет космоса в 2026 году?
Сколько запусков SpaceX Starship достигнет космоса в 2026 году?
5-6 39%
<5 26%
7-8 14%
9–10 8%
$238,409 Объем
$238,409 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
<5
26%
5-6
39%
7-8
14%
9–10
8%
11-12
3%
13–14
1%
15-16
2%
>16
6%
5-6 39%
<5 26%
7-8 14%
9–10 8%
$238,409 Объем
$238,409 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
<5
$50,672 Объем
26%
5-6
$0 Объем
39%
7-8
$127,352 Объем
14%
9–10
$54,572 Объем
8%
11-12
$2,691 Объем
3%
13–14
$3,121 Объем
1%
15-16
$0 Объем
2%
>16
$0 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 11, 2025, 7:39 PM ET
Объем
$238,409Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 11, 2025, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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