SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing in early April 2026, targeting a June roadshow and potential summer listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation, has solidified trader consensus at 94% market-implied odds for it to IPO before OpenAI, fueled by Starlink's surging $4.42 billion revenue and operational profitability offsetting xAI integration costs. Recent prospectus details affirming Elon Musk's voting control via dual-class shares further boosted sentiment amid analyst meetings this week. OpenAI lags with no filing, internal rifts—CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 2026 push clashing with CFO Sarah Friar's concerns over $121 billion compute spend and slowing growth—and opaque restructuring. While SpaceX's timeline appears firm, regulatory scrutiny or Starlink delays could open a narrow window for OpenAI acceleration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБудет ли SpaceX или OpenAI IPO первыми?
Будет ли SpaceX или OpenAI IPO первыми?
SpaceX
$69,696 Объем
$69,696 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
SpaceX
$69,696 Объем
$69,696 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing in early April 2026, targeting a June roadshow and potential summer listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation, has solidified trader consensus at 94% market-implied odds for it to IPO before OpenAI, fueled by Starlink's surging $4.42 billion revenue and operational profitability offsetting xAI integration costs. Recent prospectus details affirming Elon Musk's voting control via dual-class shares further boosted sentiment amid analyst meetings this week. OpenAI lags with no filing, internal rifts—CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 2026 push clashing with CFO Sarah Friar's concerns over $121 billion compute spend and slowing growth—and opaque restructuring. While SpaceX's timeline appears firm, regulatory scrutiny or Starlink delays could open a narrow window for OpenAI acceleration.
This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
Объем
$69,696Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing in early April 2026, targeting a June roadshow and potential summer listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation, has solidified trader consensus at 94% market-implied odds for it to IPO before OpenAI, fueled by Starlink's surging $4.42 billion revenue and operational profitability offsetting xAI integration costs. Recent prospectus details affirming Elon Musk's voting control via dual-class shares further boosted sentiment amid analyst meetings this week. OpenAI lags with no filing, internal rifts—CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 2026 push clashing with CFO Sarah Friar's concerns over $121 billion compute spend and slowing growth—and opaque restructuring. While SpaceX's timeline appears firm, regulatory scrutiny or Starlink delays could open a narrow window for OpenAI acceleration.
This market will resolve to "SpaceX" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before SpaceX completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither SpaceX nor OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$69,696Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing in early April 2026, targeting a June roadshow and potential summer listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation, has solidified trader consensus at 94% market-implied odds for it to IPO before OpenAI, fueled by Starlink's surging $4.42 billion revenue and operational profitability offsetting xAI integration costs. Recent prospectus details affirming Elon Musk's voting control via dual-class shares further boosted sentiment amid analyst meetings this week. OpenAI lags with no filing, internal rifts—CEO Sam Altman's aggressive Q4 2026 push clashing with CFO Sarah Friar's concerns over $121 billion compute spend and slowing growth—and opaque restructuring. While SpaceX's timeline appears firm, regulatory scrutiny or Starlink delays could open a narrow window for OpenAI acceleration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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