Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion at 93%, driven by the company's latest $350 billion private valuation from a December 2024 tender offer—more than double prior levels—fueled by Starlink's surging subscriber base past 5 million, record launch cadence, and Starship's IFT-5 booster catch milestone demonstrating rapid reusability progress. Elon Musk's firm stance against an IPO before full operational sustainability for Mars missions tempers near-term expectations, with "No IPO before 2028" at just 4.3%, as traders anticipate exponential growth from satellite constellation dominance and NASA/DoD contracts. Realistic challenges include Starship regulatory delays, geopolitical tensions impacting launches, or macroeconomic shifts compressing valuation multiples ahead of any public debut. Next IFT-6 test in early 2025 could further solidify upward momentum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКапитализация закрытия IPO SpaceX (самые низкие страйки)
Капитализация закрытия IPO SpaceX (самые низкие страйки)
1Т+ 93%
Нет IPO до 2028 года 4.3%
900 млрд–1 трлн <1%
700 млрд–800 млрд <1%
$2,715,564 Объем
$2,715,564 Объем
<500B
<1%
500 млрд–600 млрд
<1%
600 млрд–700 млрд
<1%
700 млрд–800 млрд
<1%
800 млрд–900 млрд
<1%
900 млрд–1 трлн
1%
1Т+
93%
Нет IPO до 2028 года
4%
1Т+ 93%
Нет IPO до 2028 года 4.3%
900 млрд–1 трлн <1%
700 млрд–800 млрд <1%
$2,715,564 Объем
$2,715,564 Объем
<500B
<1%
500 млрд–600 млрд
<1%
600 млрд–700 млрд
<1%
700 млрд–800 млрд
<1%
800 млрд–900 млрд
<1%
900 млрд–1 трлн
1%
1Т+
93%
Нет IPO до 2028 года
4%
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion at 93%, driven by the company's latest $350 billion private valuation from a December 2024 tender offer—more than double prior levels—fueled by Starlink's surging subscriber base past 5 million, record launch cadence, and Starship's IFT-5 booster catch milestone demonstrating rapid reusability progress. Elon Musk's firm stance against an IPO before full operational sustainability for Mars missions tempers near-term expectations, with "No IPO before 2028" at just 4.3%, as traders anticipate exponential growth from satellite constellation dominance and NASA/DoD contracts. Realistic challenges include Starship regulatory delays, geopolitical tensions impacting launches, or macroeconomic shifts compressing valuation multiples ahead of any public debut. Next IFT-6 test in early 2025 could further solidify upward momentum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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