Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic at 54.1% implied probability for the top AI model by June 30, driven by the April 16 release of Claude Opus 4.7, which has propelled it to the #1 spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with superior performance in coding, agentic workflows, vision, and reasoning benchmarks. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview holds strong at 22.5%, excelling in multimodal tasks and efficiency, while OpenAI's GPT-5.4 trails at 15.5% amid less disruptive recent updates. xAI's Grok lags further at 3.5%. Key catalysts ahead include potential Gemini 3.5 or GPT-5.5 announcements, though Anthropic's rapid iteration and TPU partnerships bolster its frontrunner status amid fierce large language model competition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакая компания имеет лучшую модель ИИ в конце июня?
Какая компания имеет лучшую модель ИИ в конце июня?
Anthropic 54.2%
Google 22%
OpenAI 16%
xAI 3.6%
$3,474,316 Объем
$3,474,316 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Anthropic
54%
22%
OpenAI
16%
xAI
4%
Meta
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Z.ai
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Anthropic 54.2%
Google 22%
OpenAI 16%
xAI 3.6%
$3,474,316 Объем
$3,474,316 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$614,006 Объем
54%
$336,937 Объем
22%
OpenAI
$162,722 Объем
16%
xAI
$889,898 Объем
4%
Meta
$21,467 Объем
1%
DeepSeek
$291,598 Объем
1%
Z.ai
$202,945 Объем
<1%
Amazon
$27,152 Объем
<1%
Alibaba
$148,081 Объем
<1%
Moonshot
$150,276 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$332,774 Объем
<1%
Baidu
$38,665 Объем
<1%
Microsoft
$27,757 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$39,878 Объем
<1%
Meituan
$190,161 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic at 54.1% implied probability for the top AI model by June 30, driven by the April 16 release of Claude Opus 4.7, which has propelled it to the #1 spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with superior performance in coding, agentic workflows, vision, and reasoning benchmarks. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview holds strong at 22.5%, excelling in multimodal tasks and efficiency, while OpenAI's GPT-5.4 trails at 15.5% amid less disruptive recent updates. xAI's Grok lags further at 3.5%. Key catalysts ahead include potential Gemini 3.5 or GPT-5.5 announcements, though Anthropic's rapid iteration and TPU partnerships bolster its frontrunner status amid fierce large language model competition.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Объем
$3,474,316Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic at 54.1% implied probability for the top AI model by June 30, driven by the April 16 release of Claude Opus 4.7, which has propelled it to the #1 spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with superior performance in coding, agentic workflows, vision, and reasoning benchmarks. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview holds strong at 22.5%, excelling in multimodal tasks and efficiency, while OpenAI's GPT-5.4 trails at 15.5% amid less disruptive recent updates. xAI's Grok lags further at 3.5%. Key catalysts ahead include potential Gemini 3.5 or GPT-5.5 announcements, though Anthropic's rapid iteration and TPU partnerships bolster its frontrunner status amid fierce large language model competition.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$3,474,316Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic at 54.1% implied probability for the top AI model by June 30, driven by the April 16 release of Claude Opus 4.7, which has propelled it to the #1 spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with superior performance in coding, agentic workflows, vision, and reasoning benchmarks. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview holds strong at 22.5%, excelling in multimodal tasks and efficiency, while OpenAI's GPT-5.4 trails at 15.5% amid less disruptive recent updates. xAI's Grok lags further at 3.5%. Key catalysts ahead include potential Gemini 3.5 or GPT-5.5 announcements, though Anthropic's rapid iteration and TPU partnerships bolster its frontrunner status amid fierce large language model competition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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