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Технологии·Big Tech

У какой компании лучшая модель ИИ в конце апреля?

icon for У какой компании лучшая модель ИИ в конце апреля?
Технологии·Big Tech

У какой компании лучшая модель ИИ в конце апреля?

Ended: апр. 30

мая 31

июн. 30

Ended: апр. 30

мая 31

июн. 30

Anthropic 100.0%

OpenAI <1%

xAI <1%

Baidu <1%

Polymarket

$21,090,676 Объем

Anthropic 100.0%

OpenAI <1%

xAI <1%

Baidu <1%

Polymarket

$21,090,676 Объем

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$1,984,853 Объем

Да

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$3,967,329 Объем

Нет

icon for xAI

xAI

$1,023,331 Объем

Нет

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$1,502,907 Объем

Нет

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$1,233,918 Объем

Нет

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$716,466 Объем

Нет

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$1,079,580 Объем

Нет

icon for Meta

Meta

$590,622 Объем

Нет

icon for Google

Google

$1,398,473 Объем

Нет

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$1,160,561 Объем

Нет

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$951,517 Объем

Нет

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$813,794 Объем

Нет

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$1,218,664 Объем

Нет

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$3,245,078 Объем

Нет

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$203,583 Объем

Нет

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic commands 100% market-implied odds as the company with the best AI model end of April 2026, propelled by its Claude Opus 4.7 large language model securing the top rank on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard's Text Arena Overall tab (1504 Elo score). Released on April 16, this frontier model dominates key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (82% in coding) and excels in math and agentic tasks, maintaining a clear edge over rivals such as OpenAI's GPT-5.4 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro amid no competing launches in the final weeks. Amazon trails at 0.1%, reflecting its Bedrock hosting role without proprietary leadership. With resolution imminent at noon ET via lmarena.ai rankings, only an unforeseen last-minute model drop and leaderboard refresh could challenge this trader consensus, though release cadences make it unlikely.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$21,090,676
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 4:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic commands 100% market-implied odds as the company with the best AI model end of April 2026, propelled by its Claude Opus 4.7 large language model securing the top rank on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard's Text Arena Overall tab (1504 Elo score). Released on April 16, this frontier model dominates key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (82% in coding) and excels in math and agentic tasks, maintaining a clear edge over rivals such as OpenAI's GPT-5.4 and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro amid no competing launches in the final weeks. Amazon trails at 0.1%, reflecting its Bedrock hosting role without proprietary leadership. With resolution imminent at noon ET via lmarena.ai rankings, only an unforeseen last-minute model drop and leaderboard refresh could challenge this trader consensus, though release cadences make it unlikely.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$21,090,676
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 4:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«У какой компании лучшая модель ИИ в конце апреля?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 15 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Anthropic» с 100%, за ним следует «OpenAI» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «У какой компании лучшая модель ИИ в конце апреля?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $21.1 million с момента запуска рынка Mar 20, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «У какой компании лучшая модель ИИ в конце апреля?», просмотри 15 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «У какой компании лучшая модель ИИ в конце апреля?» — «Anthropic» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «OpenAI» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «У какой компании лучшая модель ИИ в конце апреля?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.