Google’s Gemini models hold the current lead on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmark, with Gemini 3 Pro and 3.1 Pro variants posting roughly 38% on Tiers 1–3 and isolated Deep Think or preview runs exceeding 40%, ahead of GPT-5.2 and Claude Opus 4.6 equivalents. With the June 30 resolution date only weeks away, traders price a high probability that at least one Gemini version clears the 40% threshold, driven by the narrow gap and Google DeepMind’s ongoing inference optimizations and internal scaling experiments. Limited runway remains for a new flagship release or training run, while the benchmark’s focus on unpublished, expert-vetted problems makes rapid gains difficult; any official confirmation of a higher score before deadline would serve as the decisive catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОценка Google Gemini в FrontierMath Benchmark к 30 июня?
Оценка Google Gemini в FrontierMath Benchmark к 30 июня?
$146,439 Объем
28 фев. 2026 г.
40%+
Да
45%+
Да
50%+
Да
60%+
Да
$146,439 Объем
40%+
$35,018 Объем
Да
45%+
$50,558 Объем
Да
50%+
$20,930 Объем
Да
60%+
$39,933 Объем
Да
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google’s Gemini models hold the current lead on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmark, with Gemini 3 Pro and 3.1 Pro variants posting roughly 38% on Tiers 1–3 and isolated Deep Think or preview runs exceeding 40%, ahead of GPT-5.2 and Claude Opus 4.6 equivalents. With the June 30 resolution date only weeks away, traders price a high probability that at least one Gemini version clears the 40% threshold, driven by the narrow gap and Google DeepMind’s ongoing inference optimizations and internal scaling experiments. Limited runway remains for a new flagship release or training run, while the benchmark’s focus on unpublished, expert-vetted problems makes rapid gains difficult; any official confirmation of a higher score before deadline would serve as the decisive catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Объем
$146,439Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Google’s Gemini models hold the current lead on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmark, with Gemini 3 Pro and 3.1 Pro variants posting roughly 38% on Tiers 1–3 and isolated Deep Think or preview runs exceeding 40%, ahead of GPT-5.2 and Claude Opus 4.6 equivalents. With the June 30 resolution date only weeks away, traders price a high probability that at least one Gemini version clears the 40% threshold, driven by the narrow gap and Google DeepMind’s ongoing inference optimizations and internal scaling experiments. Limited runway remains for a new flagship release or training run, while the benchmark’s focus on unpublished, expert-vetted problems makes rapid gains difficult; any official confirmation of a higher score before deadline would serve as the decisive catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$146,439Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
Google’s Gemini models hold the current lead on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmark, with Gemini 3 Pro and 3.1 Pro variants posting roughly 38% on Tiers 1–3 and isolated Deep Think or preview runs exceeding 40%, ahead of GPT-5.2 and Claude Opus 4.6 equivalents. With the June 30 resolution date only weeks away, traders price a high probability that at least one Gemini version clears the 40% threshold, driven by the narrow gap and Google DeepMind’s ongoing inference optimizations and internal scaling experiments. Limited runway remains for a new flagship release or training run, while the benchmark’s focus on unpublished, expert-vetted problems makes rapid gains difficult; any official confirmation of a higher score before deadline would serve as the decisive catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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