Meta is developing Mango, an image and video generation model alongside the text-focused Avocado large language model, with an internal first-half 2026 target first reported in December 2025. The March 2026 delay of Avocado—after it underperformed leading rivals like Gemini 3.0 on internal reasoning, coding, and writing benchmarks—has introduced caution around the shared timeline, prompting internal discussions of temporary licensing from competitors. No public demos, official announcements, or revised Mango schedule have emerged since, leaving traders focused on whether Meta can accelerate multimodal capabilities or face further slips amid intense competition from OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic. Key upcoming catalysts include potential developer updates or earnings commentary that could clarify release readiness before mid-year.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМета-модель «Манго», выпущенная...?
$26,241 Объем
30 июня
48%
$26,241 Объем
30 июня
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Dec 22, 2025, 1:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes a new frontier AI model for image and video generation, or any model confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development, available to the general public by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A frontier AI image and video model refers to a newly released Meta model that Meta describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models for both image and video generation.
A qualifying model must be a general purpose model for image and video generation. Models which are focused on a specific aspect of image or video creation (e.g. computer vision or video segmentation) will not qualify.
Upgrades or successors to previous Meta models (e.g. Emu or SAM) will not count unless explicitly confirmed by Meta to be the model codenamed “Mango” during development or described by Meta as a frontier AI model for both image and video generation.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the relevant model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as being accessible to the general public.
A publicly-confirmed integration of a qualifying model into one of Meta’s primary AI buttons or portals (e.g. Instagram or Whatsapp) will qualify as a public release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Meta is developing Mango, an image and video generation model alongside the text-focused Avocado large language model, with an internal first-half 2026 target first reported in December 2025. The March 2026 delay of Avocado—after it underperformed leading rivals like Gemini 3.0 on internal reasoning, coding, and writing benchmarks—has introduced caution around the shared timeline, prompting internal discussions of temporary licensing from competitors. No public demos, official announcements, or revised Mango schedule have emerged since, leaving traders focused on whether Meta can accelerate multimodal capabilities or face further slips amid intense competition from OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic. Key upcoming catalysts include potential developer updates or earnings commentary that could clarify release readiness before mid-year.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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