Trader consensus on Polymarket now prices OpenAI CEO Sam Altman as the leading candidate to depart before year-end 2026 at a 20% implied probability, up from lower levels following Apple CEO Tim Cook's April announcement transitioning to executive chairman with John Ternus succeeding on September 1. Altman's elevated odds reflect his 2023 board ouster and reinstatement amid governance tensions, recent testimony detailing that abrupt firing, and ongoing strains like Elon Musk's lawsuit alleging OpenAI's for-profit pivot breaches founding agreements, plus reports of frayed Apple partnerships. Lower probabilities for Amazon's Andy Jassy (10%), Coinbase's Brian Armstrong (12%), Twitch's Dan Clancy (9%), and Google's Sundar Pichai (3%) stem from stable leadership amid AI investments and crypto regulatory tailwinds, though broader 2026 tech CEO turnover and layoffs signal risks ahead of Q2 earnings and AI model releases.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$692,001 Объем

Сэм Альтман — OpenAI
20%

Брайан Армстронг - Coinbase
12%

Дэн Клэнси - Twitch
9%

Энди Джэсси - Amazon
9%

Сундар Пичаи — Google
6%
$692,001 Объем

Сэм Альтман — OpenAI
20%

Брайан Армстронг - Coinbase
12%

Дэн Клэнси - Twitch
9%

Энди Джэсси - Amazon
9%

Сундар Пичаи — Google
6%
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket now prices OpenAI CEO Sam Altman as the leading candidate to depart before year-end 2026 at a 20% implied probability, up from lower levels following Apple CEO Tim Cook's April announcement transitioning to executive chairman with John Ternus succeeding on September 1. Altman's elevated odds reflect his 2023 board ouster and reinstatement amid governance tensions, recent testimony detailing that abrupt firing, and ongoing strains like Elon Musk's lawsuit alleging OpenAI's for-profit pivot breaches founding agreements, plus reports of frayed Apple partnerships. Lower probabilities for Amazon's Andy Jassy (10%), Coinbase's Brian Armstrong (12%), Twitch's Dan Clancy (9%), and Google's Sundar Pichai (3%) stem from stable leadership amid AI investments and crypto regulatory tailwinds, though broader 2026 tech CEO turnover and layoffs signal risks ahead of Q2 earnings and AI model releases.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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