Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.4% implied probability, driven by the company's February 2026 completion of a $7 billion capital raise—including $5 billion in equity and $2 billion in debt—at a $134 billion private valuation, alongside a $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue run-rate growing over 65% year-over-year and positive free cash flow. This war chest eliminates near-term liquidity pressures, allowing Databricks to prioritize its lakehouse platform expansions in AI and unstructured data analytics amid competitive dynamics with Snowflake. While March disclosures of audited GAAP financials signal IPO preparations, the absence of an S-1 filing keeps timelines fluid, likely pointing to a second-half 2026 debut. A surprise confidential filing and favorable public market reception for AI firms could accelerate this, potentially challenging the no-IPO dominance if executed swiftly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоDatabricks IPO Закрытие рыночной капитализации
Databricks IPO Закрытие рыночной капитализации
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года 91.3%
250 млрд+ 3.7%
175–200 млрд 1.8%
125–150 млрд 1.7%
$365,542 Объем
$365,542 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<100 млрд
1%
100–125 млрд
1%
125–150 млрд
2%
150–175 млрд
2%
175–200 млрд
2%
200–250 млрд
1%
250 млрд+
4%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года
91%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года 91.3%
250 млрд+ 3.7%
175–200 млрд 1.8%
125–150 млрд 1.7%
$365,542 Объем
$365,542 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<100 млрд
$32,044 Объем
1%
100–125 млрд
$37,904 Объем
1%
125–150 млрд
$24,250 Объем
2%
150–175 млрд
$58,611 Объем
2%
175–200 млрд
$56,728 Объем
2%
200–250 млрд
$19,022 Объем
1%
250 млрд+
$124,207 Объем
4%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года
$12,776 Объем
91%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.4% implied probability, driven by the company's February 2026 completion of a $7 billion capital raise—including $5 billion in equity and $2 billion in debt—at a $134 billion private valuation, alongside a $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue run-rate growing over 65% year-over-year and positive free cash flow. This war chest eliminates near-term liquidity pressures, allowing Databricks to prioritize its lakehouse platform expansions in AI and unstructured data analytics amid competitive dynamics with Snowflake. While March disclosures of audited GAAP financials signal IPO preparations, the absence of an S-1 filing keeps timelines fluid, likely pointing to a second-half 2026 debut. A surprise confidential filing and favorable public market reception for AI firms could accelerate this, potentially challenging the no-IPO dominance if executed swiftly.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Объем
$365,542Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.4% implied probability, driven by the company's February 2026 completion of a $7 billion capital raise—including $5 billion in equity and $2 billion in debt—at a $134 billion private valuation, alongside a $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue run-rate growing over 65% year-over-year and positive free cash flow. This war chest eliminates near-term liquidity pressures, allowing Databricks to prioritize its lakehouse platform expansions in AI and unstructured data analytics amid competitive dynamics with Snowflake. While March disclosures of audited GAAP financials signal IPO preparations, the absence of an S-1 filing keeps timelines fluid, likely pointing to a second-half 2026 debut. A surprise confidential filing and favorable public market reception for AI firms could accelerate this, potentially challenging the no-IPO dominance if executed swiftly.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$365,542Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 91.4% implied probability, driven by the company's February 2026 completion of a $7 billion capital raise—including $5 billion in equity and $2 billion in debt—at a $134 billion private valuation, alongside a $5.4 billion annual recurring revenue run-rate growing over 65% year-over-year and positive free cash flow. This war chest eliminates near-term liquidity pressures, allowing Databricks to prioritize its lakehouse platform expansions in AI and unstructured data analytics amid competitive dynamics with Snowflake. While March disclosures of audited GAAP financials signal IPO preparations, the absence of an S-1 filing keeps timelines fluid, likely pointing to a second-half 2026 debut. A surprise confidential filing and favorable public market reception for AI firms could accelerate this, potentially challenging the no-IPO dominance if executed swiftly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы