Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion (82.5% implied probability), propelled by explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run rate announced in early April 2026—tripling from late 2025—and surging private market valuations. Secondary share trading on platforms like Augment recently implied a $613 billion market cap, up 59% in Q1, while venture capital offers have reached $800 billion, more than doubling the $380 billion post-money valuation from its $30 billion Series G round in February. Early banker discussions with Goldman Sachs and others target a Q4 2026 listing raising over $60 billion, outpacing OpenAI amid enterprise demand for Claude AI models. A no-IPO outcome by 2027 (12.5%) reflects macro risks like geopolitical tensions, though no delays have materialized. Watch for S-1 filings or macro shifts as key catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРыночная капитализация закрытия антропного IPO
Рыночная капитализация закрытия антропного IPO
600 млрд+ 83%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 13%
400–600 млрд 2.3%
300–400 млрд <1%
$191,758 Объем
$191,758 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<100 млрд
1%
100–200 млрд
<1%
200–300 млрд
<1%
300–400 млрд
1%
400–600 млрд
2%
600 млрд+
83%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
13%
600 млрд+ 83%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 13%
400–600 млрд 2.3%
300–400 млрд <1%
$191,758 Объем
$191,758 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<100 млрд
$61,060 Объем
1%
100–200 млрд
$50,672 Объем
<1%
200–300 млрд
$6,394 Объем
<1%
300–400 млрд
$46,119 Объем
1%
400–600 млрд
$7,185 Объем
2%
600 млрд+
$10,314 Объем
83%
Нет IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
$10,055 Объем
13%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion (82.5% implied probability), propelled by explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run rate announced in early April 2026—tripling from late 2025—and surging private market valuations. Secondary share trading on platforms like Augment recently implied a $613 billion market cap, up 59% in Q1, while venture capital offers have reached $800 billion, more than doubling the $380 billion post-money valuation from its $30 billion Series G round in February. Early banker discussions with Goldman Sachs and others target a Q4 2026 listing raising over $60 billion, outpacing OpenAI amid enterprise demand for Claude AI models. A no-IPO outcome by 2027 (12.5%) reflects macro risks like geopolitical tensions, though no delays have materialized. Watch for S-1 filings or macro shifts as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Объем
$191,758Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion (82.5% implied probability), propelled by explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run rate announced in early April 2026—tripling from late 2025—and surging private market valuations. Secondary share trading on platforms like Augment recently implied a $613 billion market cap, up 59% in Q1, while venture capital offers have reached $800 billion, more than doubling the $380 billion post-money valuation from its $30 billion Series G round in February. Early banker discussions with Goldman Sachs and others target a Q4 2026 listing raising over $60 billion, outpacing OpenAI amid enterprise demand for Claude AI models. A no-IPO outcome by 2027 (12.5%) reflects macro risks like geopolitical tensions, though no delays have materialized. Watch for S-1 filings or macro shifts as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$191,758Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion (82.5% implied probability), propelled by explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run rate announced in early April 2026—tripling from late 2025—and surging private market valuations. Secondary share trading on platforms like Augment recently implied a $613 billion market cap, up 59% in Q1, while venture capital offers have reached $800 billion, more than doubling the $380 billion post-money valuation from its $30 billion Series G round in February. Early banker discussions with Goldman Sachs and others target a Q4 2026 listing raising over $60 billion, outpacing OpenAI amid enterprise demand for Claude AI models. A no-IPO outcome by 2027 (12.5%) reflects macro risks like geopolitical tensions, though no delays have materialized. Watch for S-1 filings or macro shifts as key catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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