Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices in no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (97.4% implied probability), reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official timeline acceleration despite recent private market fervor. Reports from late March detailed early discussions with bankers for a Q4 2026 debut—potentially raising over $60 billion at a $380 billion valuation—fueled by Claude large language model revenue surging to $30 billion annualized, outpacing rivals like OpenAI. Hiring law firm Wilson Sonsini signals groundwork, but SEC review, roadshows, and volatile tech IPO conditions typically demand 4–6 months. A surprise filing or stabilizing markets could challenge this, though timeline slips are common in AI's high-stakes race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРыночная капитализация закрытия антропного IPO
Рыночная капитализация закрытия антропного IPO
Нет выхода на IPO к 30 июня 2026 года 97.4%
600 млрд+ 1.7%
<100 млрд <1%
100–200 млрд <1%
$960,400 Объем
$960,400 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<100 млрд
<1%
100–200 млрд
<1%
200–300 млрд
<1%
300–400 млрд
<1%
400–600 млрд
<1%
600 млрд+
2%
Нет выхода на IPO к 30 июня 2026 года
97%
Нет выхода на IPO к 30 июня 2026 года 97.4%
600 млрд+ 1.7%
<100 млрд <1%
100–200 млрд <1%
$960,400 Объем
$960,400 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<100 млрд
$205,517 Объем
<1%
100–200 млрд
$67,244 Объем
<1%
200–300 млрд
$122,501 Объем
<1%
300–400 млрд
$63,496 Объем
<1%
400–600 млрд
$96,687 Объем
<1%
600 млрд+
$235,874 Объем
2%
Нет выхода на IPO к 30 июня 2026 года
$169,081 Объем
97%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices in no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (97.4% implied probability), reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official timeline acceleration despite recent private market fervor. Reports from late March detailed early discussions with bankers for a Q4 2026 debut—potentially raising over $60 billion at a $380 billion valuation—fueled by Claude large language model revenue surging to $30 billion annualized, outpacing rivals like OpenAI. Hiring law firm Wilson Sonsini signals groundwork, but SEC review, roadshows, and volatile tech IPO conditions typically demand 4–6 months. A surprise filing or stabilizing markets could challenge this, though timeline slips are common in AI's high-stakes race.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Объем
$960,400Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices in no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (97.4% implied probability), reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official timeline acceleration despite recent private market fervor. Reports from late March detailed early discussions with bankers for a Q4 2026 debut—potentially raising over $60 billion at a $380 billion valuation—fueled by Claude large language model revenue surging to $30 billion annualized, outpacing rivals like OpenAI. Hiring law firm Wilson Sonsini signals groundwork, but SEC review, roadshows, and volatile tech IPO conditions typically demand 4–6 months. A surprise filing or stabilizing markets could challenge this, though timeline slips are common in AI's high-stakes race.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$960,400Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices in no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026 (97.4% implied probability), reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing or official timeline acceleration despite recent private market fervor. Reports from late March detailed early discussions with bankers for a Q4 2026 debut—potentially raising over $60 billion at a $380 billion valuation—fueled by Claude large language model revenue surging to $30 billion annualized, outpacing rivals like OpenAI. Hiring law firm Wilson Sonsini signals groundwork, but SEC review, roadshows, and volatile tech IPO conditions typically demand 4–6 months. A surprise filing or stabilizing markets could challenge this, though timeline slips are common in AI's high-stakes race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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