OpenAI commands a commanding 95.6% implied probability on Polymarket for the best AI model in coding as of March 31, driven by its o1 series—particularly o1-preview and o1-mini—which have delivered state-of-the-art results on key benchmarks like SWE-Bench and LiveCodeBench through superior chain-of-thought reasoning tailored for complex programming tasks. Traders' strong consensus reflects OpenAI's rapid iteration pace, with no major rival releases from Anthropic's Claude lineup or Google's Gemini since late 2024, alongside credible reports of ongoing o1 refinements boosting coding accuracy beyond 90% on HumanEval equivalents. Upcoming catalysts include potential OpenAI model updates before quarter-end or surprise announcements from challengers like Anthropic's anticipated Claude 3.7, which could disrupt if they surpass current leaderboards; regulatory scrutiny on AI safety might also delay deployments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоУ какой компании будет лучшая модель ИИ для кодирования 31 марта?
У какой компании будет лучшая модель ИИ для кодирования 31 марта?
OpenAI 94.8%
Anthropic 2.5%
DeepSeek <1%
Google <1%
$1,017,750 Объем
$1,017,750 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
OpenAI
95%
Anthropic
3%
DeepSeek
1%
<1%
xAI
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
OpenAI 94.8%
Anthropic 2.5%
DeepSeek <1%
Google <1%
$1,017,750 Объем
$1,017,750 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
OpenAI
$119,471 Объем
95%
Anthropic
$115,290 Объем
3%
DeepSeek
$210,389 Объем
1%
$105,902 Объем
<1%
xAI
$139,048 Объем
<1%
Z.ai
$0 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$160,221 Объем
<1%
Alibaba
$78,517 Объем
<1%
Moonshot
$88,911 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.OpenAI commands a commanding 95.6% implied probability on Polymarket for the best AI model in coding as of March 31, driven by its o1 series—particularly o1-preview and o1-mini—which have delivered state-of-the-art results on key benchmarks like SWE-Bench and LiveCodeBench through superior chain-of-thought reasoning tailored for complex programming tasks. Traders' strong consensus reflects OpenAI's rapid iteration pace, with no major rival releases from Anthropic's Claude lineup or Google's Gemini since late 2024, alongside credible reports of ongoing o1 refinements boosting coding accuracy beyond 90% on HumanEval equivalents. Upcoming catalysts include potential OpenAI model updates before quarter-end or surprise announcements from challengers like Anthropic's anticipated Claude 3.7, which could disrupt if they surpass current leaderboards; regulatory scrutiny on AI safety might also delay deployments.
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Dec 12, 2025, 1:29 PM ET
Объем
$1,017,750Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 1:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.OpenAI commands a commanding 95.6% implied probability on Polymarket for the best AI model in coding as of March 31, driven by its o1 series—particularly o1-preview and o1-mini—which have delivered state-of-the-art results on key benchmarks like SWE-Bench and LiveCodeBench through superior chain-of-thought reasoning tailored for complex programming tasks. Traders' strong consensus reflects OpenAI's rapid iteration pace, with no major rival releases from Anthropic's Claude lineup or Google's Gemini since late 2024, alongside credible reports of ongoing o1 refinements boosting coding accuracy beyond 90% on HumanEval equivalents. Upcoming catalysts include potential OpenAI model updates before quarter-end or surprise announcements from challengers like Anthropic's anticipated Claude 3.7, which could disrupt if they surpass current leaderboards; regulatory scrutiny on AI safety might also delay deployments.
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$1,017,750Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 12, 2025, 1:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI commands a commanding 95.6% implied probability on Polymarket for the best AI model in coding as of March 31, driven by its o1 series—particularly o1-preview and o1-mini—which have delivered state-of-the-art results on key benchmarks like SWE-Bench and LiveCodeBench through superior chain-of-thought reasoning tailored for complex programming tasks. Traders' strong consensus reflects OpenAI's rapid iteration pace, with no major rival releases from Anthropic's Claude lineup or Google's Gemini since late 2024, alongside credible reports of ongoing o1 refinements boosting coding accuracy beyond 90% on HumanEval equivalents. Upcoming catalysts include potential OpenAI model updates before quarter-end or surprise announcements from challengers like Anthropic's anticipated Claude 3.7, which could disrupt if they surpass current leaderboards; regulatory scrutiny on AI safety might also delay deployments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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