Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 77% implied probability to no Discord IPO by June 2026, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official IPO roadmap, alongside CEO Jason Citron's recent statements emphasizing sustainable growth over public market pressures amid a cautious tech IPO environment. Discord's stagnant $15 billion private valuation since its 2021 funding round, coupled with August 2024 layoffs affecting 5% of staff to streamline costs, underscores profitability challenges despite steady user growth. Elevated interest rates and equity market volatility further dampen near-term listing prospects, positioning sub-$15 billion outcomes at 16% as a distant secondary bet if an eventual IPO materializes under subdued conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКапитализация закрытия IPO Discord
Капитализация закрытия IPO Discord
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года 77%
<15 млрд 16.2%
15–20 млрд 2.4%
30 млрд+ <1%
$694,413 Объем
$694,413 Объем
<15 млрд
16%
15–20 млрд
2%
20–25 млрд
1%
25–30 млрд
<1%
30 млрд+
1%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года
77%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года 77%
<15 млрд 16.2%
15–20 млрд 2.4%
30 млрд+ <1%
$694,413 Объем
$694,413 Объем
<15 млрд
16%
15–20 млрд
2%
20–25 млрд
1%
25–30 млрд
<1%
30 млрд+
1%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года
77%
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 77% implied probability to no Discord IPO by June 2026, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official IPO roadmap, alongside CEO Jason Citron's recent statements emphasizing sustainable growth over public market pressures amid a cautious tech IPO environment. Discord's stagnant $15 billion private valuation since its 2021 funding round, coupled with August 2024 layoffs affecting 5% of staff to streamline costs, underscores profitability challenges despite steady user growth. Elevated interest rates and equity market volatility further dampen near-term listing prospects, positioning sub-$15 billion outcomes at 16% as a distant secondary bet if an eventual IPO materializes under subdued conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы