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Технологии·IPOS

Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация

icon for Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация
Технологии·IPOS

Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация

Нет IPO до 2028 года 50%

50–75 млрд 12.9%

75–100 млрд 10.2%

<20 млрд 6.6%

Polymarket

$139,877 Объем

Нет IPO до 2028 года 50%

50–75 млрд 12.9%

75–100 млрд 10.2%

<20 млрд 6.6%

Polymarket

$139,877 Объем

<20 млрд

$4,474 Объем

7%

20–30 млрд

$5,889 Объем

5%

30–40 млрд

$4,389 Объем

6%

40–50 млрд

$4,192 Объем

8%

50–75 млрд

$6,236 Объем

13%

75–100 млрд

$3,386 Объем

10%

100 млрд+

$4,858 Объем

6%

Нет IPO до 2028 года

$106,454 Объем

50%

This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability against a Perplexity IPO before 2028, driven primarily by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 statement ruling out public listing until then, reaffirmed amid no subsequent filings or announcements as of May 2026. Sustaining this positioning are Perplexity's robust fundamentals—a $20 billion private valuation from its September 2025 funding round, explosive growth to over $450 million annualized revenue run rate fueled by agentic AI features like Perplexity Computer and Comet browser, and 100 million monthly users—yet tempered by ongoing publisher lawsuits from The New York Times and others alleging content scraping. Mid-tier market cap buckets like 50B–75B (14.5%) and 40B–50B (13.1%) reflect optimism for scaled AI search disruption if an IPO materializes post-2028, with no near-term catalysts like S-1 filings anticipated.

This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$139,877
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability against a Perplexity IPO before 2028, driven primarily by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 statement ruling out public listing until then, reaffirmed amid no subsequent filings or announcements as of May 2026. Sustaining this positioning are Perplexity's robust fundamentals—a $20 billion private valuation from its September 2025 funding round, explosive growth to over $450 million annualized revenue run rate fueled by agentic AI features like Perplexity Computer and Comet browser, and 100 million monthly users—yet tempered by ongoing publisher lawsuits from The New York Times and others alleging content scraping. Mid-tier market cap buckets like 50B–75B (14.5%) and 40B–50B (13.1%) reflect optimism for scaled AI search disruption if an IPO materializes post-2028, with no near-term catalysts like S-1 filings anticipated.

This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$139,877
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Нет IPO до 2028 года» с 50%, за ним следует «50–75 млрд» с 13%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 50¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 50%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $139.9K с момента запуска рынка Jan 5, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация» — «Нет IPO до 2028 года» с 50%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 50%. Следующий ближайший исход — «50–75 млрд» с 13%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Недоумение Закрытие IPO Рыночная капитализация» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.