Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a strong 77.5% implied probability that GTA 6 will not face another postponement beyond its confirmed November 19, 2026 launch, driven by Rockstar Games' official announcements and Take-Two Interactive's repeated reaffirmations during recent earnings calls, including February's fiscal update. A credible Best Buy leak yesterday signaling pre-orders starting May 18—coupled with speculation around Trailer 3—has fueled optimism, indicating marketing momentum and polish nearing completion after prior delays from Fall 2025 to May 2026 and then November. While unverified X rumors of crunch persist, no credible reports suggest further slippage, with Take-Two's May 21 earnings call looming as the next key catalyst for confirmation amid peaking hype.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЗапуск GTA 6 снова отложен?
Запуск GTA 6 снова отложен?
Да
$280,138 Объем
$280,138 Объем
19 нояб. 2026 г.
Да
$280,138 Объем
$280,138 Объем
19 нояб. 2026 г.
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a strong 77.5% implied probability that GTA 6 will not face another postponement beyond its confirmed November 19, 2026 launch, driven by Rockstar Games' official announcements and Take-Two Interactive's repeated reaffirmations during recent earnings calls, including February's fiscal update. A credible Best Buy leak yesterday signaling pre-orders starting May 18—coupled with speculation around Trailer 3—has fueled optimism, indicating marketing momentum and polish nearing completion after prior delays from Fall 2025 to May 2026 and then November. While unverified X rumors of crunch persist, no credible reports suggest further slippage, with Take-Two's May 21 earnings call looming as the next key catalyst for confirmation amid peaking hype.
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ET
Объем
$280,138Дата окончания
19 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a strong 77.5% implied probability that GTA 6 will not face another postponement beyond its confirmed November 19, 2026 launch, driven by Rockstar Games' official announcements and Take-Two Interactive's repeated reaffirmations during recent earnings calls, including February's fiscal update. A credible Best Buy leak yesterday signaling pre-orders starting May 18—coupled with speculation around Trailer 3—has fueled optimism, indicating marketing momentum and polish nearing completion after prior delays from Fall 2025 to May 2026 and then November. While unverified X rumors of crunch persist, no credible reports suggest further slippage, with Take-Two's May 21 earnings call looming as the next key catalyst for confirmation amid peaking hype.
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$280,380Дата окончания
19 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a strong 77.5% implied probability that GTA 6 will not face another postponement beyond its confirmed November 19, 2026 launch, driven by Rockstar Games' official announcements and Take-Two Interactive's repeated reaffirmations during recent earnings calls, including February's fiscal update. A credible Best Buy leak yesterday signaling pre-orders starting May 18—coupled with speculation around Trailer 3—has fueled optimism, indicating marketing momentum and polish nearing completion after prior delays from Fall 2025 to May 2026 and then November. While unverified X rumors of crunch persist, no credible reports suggest further slippage, with Take-Two's May 21 earnings call looming as the next key catalyst for confirmation amid peaking hype.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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