OpenAI’s accelerated release cadence after GPT-5.5 in late April 2026, combined with internal Codex routing logs briefly referencing a GPT-5.6 identifier in May, has driven strong trader consensus toward a June or early July launch. Chief scientist Jakub Pachocki described the update as a meaningful step up in efficiency, safety, and capabilities, with leaks pointing to expanded context windows and gains in reasoning and coding benchmarks that could help counter Anthropic’s Claude models and Google Gemini. Competitive pressure, including reported price cuts and rival feature pushes, reinforces expectations of an imminent rollout to maintain OpenAI’s frontier positioning ahead of a potential ChatGPT overhaul. While no official announcement or system card exists as of mid-June, the pattern of rapid GPT-5.x iterations and visible testing activity keeps market-implied odds elevated for a public release by June 30 or July 31, with any confirmed developer preview or API access serving as the clearest near-term catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоGPT-5.6 released by...?
GPT-5.6 released by...?
$981,051 Объем
15 июн. 2026 г.
June 15
<1%
June 30
80%
23 июня
14%
July 31
96%
$981,051 Объем
June 15
$274,570 Объем
<1%
June 30
$134,582 Объем
80%
23 июня
$12,780 Объем
14%
July 31
$211,290 Объем
96%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s accelerated release cadence after GPT-5.5 in late April 2026, combined with internal Codex routing logs briefly referencing a GPT-5.6 identifier in May, has driven strong trader consensus toward a June or early July launch. Chief scientist Jakub Pachocki described the update as a meaningful step up in efficiency, safety, and capabilities, with leaks pointing to expanded context windows and gains in reasoning and coding benchmarks that could help counter Anthropic’s Claude models and Google Gemini. Competitive pressure, including reported price cuts and rival feature pushes, reinforces expectations of an imminent rollout to maintain OpenAI’s frontier positioning ahead of a potential ChatGPT overhaul. While no official announcement or system card exists as of mid-June, the pattern of rapid GPT-5.x iterations and visible testing activity keeps market-implied odds elevated for a public release by June 30 or July 31, with any confirmed developer preview or API access serving as the clearest near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Объем
$981,051Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s accelerated release cadence after GPT-5.5 in late April 2026, combined with internal Codex routing logs briefly referencing a GPT-5.6 identifier in May, has driven strong trader consensus toward a June or early July launch. Chief scientist Jakub Pachocki described the update as a meaningful step up in efficiency, safety, and capabilities, with leaks pointing to expanded context windows and gains in reasoning and coding benchmarks that could help counter Anthropic’s Claude models and Google Gemini. Competitive pressure, including reported price cuts and rival feature pushes, reinforces expectations of an imminent rollout to maintain OpenAI’s frontier positioning ahead of a potential ChatGPT overhaul. While no official announcement or system card exists as of mid-June, the pattern of rapid GPT-5.x iterations and visible testing activity keeps market-implied odds elevated for a public release by June 30 or July 31, with any confirmed developer preview or API access serving as the clearest near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$981,051Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s accelerated release cadence after GPT-5.5 in late April 2026, combined with internal Codex routing logs briefly referencing a GPT-5.6 identifier in May, has driven strong trader consensus toward a June or early July launch. Chief scientist Jakub Pachocki described the update as a meaningful step up in efficiency, safety, and capabilities, with leaks pointing to expanded context windows and gains in reasoning and coding benchmarks that could help counter Anthropic’s Claude models and Google Gemini. Competitive pressure, including reported price cuts and rival feature pushes, reinforces expectations of an imminent rollout to maintain OpenAI’s frontier positioning ahead of a potential ChatGPT overhaul. While no official announcement or system card exists as of mid-June, the pattern of rapid GPT-5.x iterations and visible testing activity keeps market-implied odds elevated for a public release by June 30 or July 31, with any confirmed developer preview or API access serving as the clearest near-term catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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