OpenAI has not officially announced or released GPT-5.6 as of mid-June 2026, with GPT-5.5 remaining the confirmed frontier model following its April rollout. Trader sentiment centers on backend Codex logs that briefly referenced the model in May, internal testing signals, and statements from OpenAI’s chief scientist describing a meaningful upgrade in reasoning and capabilities. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Opus 4.8 and reported price-cutting plans add urgency, as does OpenAI’s accelerated post-5.5 cadence. Prediction markets currently price a June 30 release above 75 percent while assigning far lower odds to earlier dates, reflecting aggregated bets on leaks materializing into a public launch amid ongoing uncertainty over exact timing and features.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоGPT-5.6 released by...?
GPT-5.6 released by...?
$946,730 Объем
15 июн. 2026 г.
June 15
1%
June 30
80%
23 июня
20%
July 31
94%
$946,730 Объем
June 15
$248,359 Объем
1%
June 30
$129,678 Объем
80%
23 июня
$11,404 Объем
20%
July 31
$209,471 Объем
94%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI has not officially announced or released GPT-5.6 as of mid-June 2026, with GPT-5.5 remaining the confirmed frontier model following its April rollout. Trader sentiment centers on backend Codex logs that briefly referenced the model in May, internal testing signals, and statements from OpenAI’s chief scientist describing a meaningful upgrade in reasoning and capabilities. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Opus 4.8 and reported price-cutting plans add urgency, as does OpenAI’s accelerated post-5.5 cadence. Prediction markets currently price a June 30 release above 75 percent while assigning far lower odds to earlier dates, reflecting aggregated bets on leaks materializing into a public launch amid ongoing uncertainty over exact timing and features.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Объем
$946,730Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI has not officially announced or released GPT-5.6 as of mid-June 2026, with GPT-5.5 remaining the confirmed frontier model following its April rollout. Trader sentiment centers on backend Codex logs that briefly referenced the model in May, internal testing signals, and statements from OpenAI’s chief scientist describing a meaningful upgrade in reasoning and capabilities. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Opus 4.8 and reported price-cutting plans add urgency, as does OpenAI’s accelerated post-5.5 cadence. Prediction markets currently price a June 30 release above 75 percent while assigning far lower odds to earlier dates, reflecting aggregated bets on leaks materializing into a public launch amid ongoing uncertainty over exact timing and features.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$946,730Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 10:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI has not officially announced or released GPT-5.6 as of mid-June 2026, with GPT-5.5 remaining the confirmed frontier model following its April rollout. Trader sentiment centers on backend Codex logs that briefly referenced the model in May, internal testing signals, and statements from OpenAI’s chief scientist describing a meaningful upgrade in reasoning and capabilities. Competitive pressure from Anthropic’s Opus 4.8 and reported price-cutting plans add urgency, as does OpenAI’s accelerated post-5.5 cadence. Prediction markets currently price a June 30 release above 75 percent while assigning far lower odds to earlier dates, reflecting aggregated bets on leaks materializing into a public launch amid ongoing uncertainty over exact timing and features.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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