Anthropic’s accelerated Claude 4.x Opus cadence—Opus 4.7 in mid-April followed by 4.8 on May 28, 2026—has established rapid iteration as the baseline expectation, with each update emphasizing agentic workflows, honesty/reliability gains, and expanded context/tool use. The May release bundled Dynamic Workflows and effort controls, while the June 9 introduction of the higher Mythos 5 tier and June 30 Sonnet 5 launch signal potential rebranding or tier shifts that could affect when a distinct “next Opus” qualifies for market resolution. Traders are watching for official Anthropic announcements on Claude 5 Opus timelines amid ongoing competition in frontier model capabilities and typical product-launch slippage risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAnthropic makes no official announcement of Claude Opus 5 despite market expectations
July 24 plunges to 56%36%
Despite widespread speculation and market pricing suggesting a late July release, Anthropic did not announce or release any new Claude Opus model by July 23, 2026. The absence of an official launch led to a decline in market confidence and price adjustments.
Rumors and sightings of Claude Opus 5 model surface but no official release
July 24 surges to 64%31%
On July 23, 2026, community reports and leaked screenshots indicated that Claude Opus 5, codenamed Honeycomb, was appearing briefly in model selectors and Vertex AI quotas, fueling speculation of an imminent release. However, Anthropic did not officially announce or make the model publicly accessible, leading to market uncertainty and partial price adjustments.
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