Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, at 58% implied probability, driven by CEO Patrick Collison's May 2024 confirmation of no rushed public listing amid ample private liquidity from recent tender offers valuing the firm around $65 billion. Secondary market trades and fintech peers like Adyen's post-IPO slump underscore valuation caution, positioning the 120–140 billion range (29%) as the optimistic runner-up if an eventual debut occurs amid revenue growth toward $3.5 billion annualized. Absent S-1 filings or banker mandates, low odds for other caps reflect skepticism on timing, with high rates and AI-fueled tech reallocations delaying fintech debuts. Watch Q1 2025 for confidential filing signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено120–140 млрд 43.2%
<80 млрд 5.2%
140 млрд+ <1%
80–100 млрд долл. <1%
$108,308 Объем
$108,308 Объем
<80 млрд
5%
80–100 млрд долл.
1%
100–120 млрд
<1%
120–140 млрд
43%
140 млрд+
1%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года
57%
120–140 млрд 43.2%
<80 млрд 5.2%
140 млрд+ <1%
80–100 млрд долл. <1%
$108,308 Объем
$108,308 Объем
<80 млрд
5%
80–100 млрд долл.
1%
100–120 млрд
<1%
120–140 млрд
43%
140 млрд+
1%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года
57%
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, at 58% implied probability, driven by CEO Patrick Collison's May 2024 confirmation of no rushed public listing amid ample private liquidity from recent tender offers valuing the firm around $65 billion. Secondary market trades and fintech peers like Adyen's post-IPO slump underscore valuation caution, positioning the 120–140 billion range (29%) as the optimistic runner-up if an eventual debut occurs amid revenue growth toward $3.5 billion annualized. Absent S-1 filings or banker mandates, low odds for other caps reflect skepticism on timing, with high rates and AI-fueled tech reallocations delaying fintech debuts. Watch Q1 2025 for confidential filing signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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