Trader sentiment overwhelmingly prices an 88.9% implied probability against a Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the fintech's thriving private status—bolstered by a $91.5 billion secondary valuation in February 2024—and CEO Patrick Collison's October 2024 comments prioritizing product innovation over public markets amid persistent high interest rates curbing tech listings. Stripe's $14 billion annualized revenue and recent profitability provide ample secondary liquidity, diminishing IPO urgency, while regulatory hurdles for payments processors add friction. If listing occurs, traders lean toward 120–140 billion market cap at 5.9% odds, but low capital backing across bins underscores timeline skepticism absent an S-1 filing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоНет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года 88.8%
120–140 млрд 6.1%
<80 млрд 3.0%
140 млрд+ <1%
$84,154 Объем
$84,154 Объем
<80 млрд
3%
80–100 млрд долл.
1%
100–120 млрд
<1%
120–140 млрд
6%
140 млрд+
1%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года
89%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года 88.8%
120–140 млрд 6.1%
<80 млрд 3.0%
140 млрд+ <1%
$84,154 Объем
$84,154 Объем
<80 млрд
3%
80–100 млрд долл.
1%
100–120 млрд
<1%
120–140 млрд
6%
140 млрд+
1%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года
89%
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment overwhelmingly prices an 88.9% implied probability against a Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the fintech's thriving private status—bolstered by a $91.5 billion secondary valuation in February 2024—and CEO Patrick Collison's October 2024 comments prioritizing product innovation over public markets amid persistent high interest rates curbing tech listings. Stripe's $14 billion annualized revenue and recent profitability provide ample secondary liquidity, diminishing IPO urgency, while regulatory hurdles for payments processors add friction. If listing occurs, traders lean toward 120–140 billion market cap at 5.9% odds, but low capital backing across bins underscores timeline skepticism absent an S-1 filing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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