SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing targeted for June 12 under ticker SPCX, underpins the 93.8% market-implied probability for that month. Confidential SEC filing occurred April 1, followed by a faster-than-expected review that advanced the prospectus release, roadshow start around June 4, and pricing as early as June 11. The process reflects a $1.8 trillion valuation target and plans to raise up to $75 billion, supported by 2025 revenue of roughly $18.7 billion. While trader consensus backed by real capital anticipates minimal slippage, potential delays from final regulatory clearances, shifts in market conditions, or revised deal terms could still push resolution into July.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИюнь 93.8%
Июль 4.3%
Август 1.1%
Сентябрь 1.0%
$419,549 Объем
$419,549 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Май
<1%
Июнь
94%
Июль
4%
Август
1%
Сентябрь
1%
Октябрь
<1%
Ноябрь
<1%
Декабрь
1%
Нет IPO до 2027 года
1%
Июнь 93.8%
Июль 4.3%
Август 1.1%
Сентябрь 1.0%
$419,549 Объем
$419,549 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Май
$101,066 Объем
<1%
Июнь
$121,235 Объем
94%
Июль
$22,024 Объем
4%
Август
$15,472 Объем
1%
Сентябрь
$14,677 Объем
1%
Октябрь
$11,868 Объем
<1%
Ноябрь
$13,378 Объем
<1%
Декабрь
$9,000 Объем
1%
Нет IPO до 2027 года
$20,155 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing targeted for June 12 under ticker SPCX, underpins the 93.8% market-implied probability for that month. Confidential SEC filing occurred April 1, followed by a faster-than-expected review that advanced the prospectus release, roadshow start around June 4, and pricing as early as June 11. The process reflects a $1.8 trillion valuation target and plans to raise up to $75 billion, supported by 2025 revenue of roughly $18.7 billion. While trader consensus backed by real capital anticipates minimal slippage, potential delays from final regulatory clearances, shifts in market conditions, or revised deal terms could still push resolution into July.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Открытие рынка: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Объем
$419,549Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing targeted for June 12 under ticker SPCX, underpins the 93.8% market-implied probability for that month. Confidential SEC filing occurred April 1, followed by a faster-than-expected review that advanced the prospectus release, roadshow start around June 4, and pricing as early as June 11. The process reflects a $1.8 trillion valuation target and plans to raise up to $75 billion, supported by 2025 revenue of roughly $18.7 billion. While trader consensus backed by real capital anticipates minimal slippage, potential delays from final regulatory clearances, shifts in market conditions, or revised deal terms could still push resolution into July.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Объем
$419,549Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s accelerated IPO timeline, with a Nasdaq listing targeted for June 12 under ticker SPCX, underpins the 93.8% market-implied probability for that month. Confidential SEC filing occurred April 1, followed by a faster-than-expected review that advanced the prospectus release, roadshow start around June 4, and pricing as early as June 11. The process reflects a $1.8 trillion valuation target and plans to raise up to $75 billion, supported by 2025 revenue of roughly $18.7 billion. While trader consensus backed by real capital anticipates minimal slippage, potential delays from final regulatory clearances, shifts in market conditions, or revised deal terms could still push resolution into July.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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