SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with Nasdaq listing targeted for June 12 under ticker SPCX and pricing as early as June 11 following a June 4 roadshow, underpins the dominant 91.5% implied probability for a June debut. Faster-than-expected SEC review of the confidential S-1 filing submitted in early April has compressed the schedule from an initial late-June target, aligning with strong trader consensus backed by real capital at risk. This positioning reflects verifiable regulatory progress and institutional syndication, though realistic challenges include potential delays from final SEC comments, shifts in market sentiment affecting valuation targets near $1.75 trillion, or unforeseen corporate decisions that could push resolution into July or beyond.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИюнь 92%
Июль 5.8%
Нет IPO до 2027 года <1%
Август <1%
$367,201 Объем
$367,201 Объем
Май
<1%
Июнь
92%
Июль
6%
Август
1%
Сентябрь
<1%
Октябрь
<1%
Ноябрь
<1%
Декабрь
<1%
Нет IPO до 2027 года
1%
Июнь 92%
Июль 5.8%
Нет IPO до 2027 года <1%
Август <1%
$367,201 Объем
$367,201 Объем
Май
<1%
Июнь
92%
Июль
6%
Август
1%
Сентябрь
<1%
Октябрь
<1%
Ноябрь
<1%
Декабрь
<1%
Нет IPO до 2027 года
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Открытие рынка: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, with Nasdaq listing targeted for June 12 under ticker SPCX and pricing as early as June 11 following a June 4 roadshow, underpins the dominant 91.5% implied probability for a June debut. Faster-than-expected SEC review of the confidential S-1 filing submitted in early April has compressed the schedule from an initial late-June target, aligning with strong trader consensus backed by real capital at risk. This positioning reflects verifiable regulatory progress and institutional syndication, though realistic challenges include potential delays from final SEC comments, shifts in market sentiment affecting valuation targets near $1.75 trillion, or unforeseen corporate decisions that could push resolution into July or beyond.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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