SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in April and public prospectus release this week have accelerated its IPO timeline, positioning June 12 as the market’s highest-implied probability outcome at 67.5 percent. Traders are pricing in a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX following faster-than-expected regulatory clearance, with roadshow activity slated to begin around June 4 and potential pricing as early as June 11. Mid-June alternatives such as June 24 and June 29 hold 45.1 percent odds each, reflecting residual uncertainty around final share allocation and lock-up structures disclosed in the filing. The consensus reflects institutional positioning ahead of what could become the largest IPO on record, with market-implied odds incorporating both confirmed deal mechanics and the narrow window before quarter-end reporting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоJune 12 54%
June 24 44.6%
June 29 44.5%
June 15 34%
June 1 or earlier
1%
June 2
1%
June 3
8%
June 4
8%
June 5
1%
June 8
1%
June 9
24%
June 10
40%
June 11
25%
June 12
67%
June 15
19%
June 16
16%
June 17
16%
June 18
22%
June 22
40%
June 23
-
June 24
45%
June 25
37%
June 26
42%
June 29
45%
June 30 or later
38%
June 12 54%
June 24 44.6%
June 29 44.5%
June 15 34%
June 1 or earlier
1%
June 2
1%
June 3
8%
June 4
8%
June 5
1%
June 8
1%
June 9
24%
June 10
40%
June 11
25%
June 12
67%
June 15
19%
June 16
16%
June 17
16%
June 18
22%
June 22
40%
June 23
-
June 24
45%
June 25
37%
June 26
42%
June 29
45%
June 30 or later
38%
For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: May 20, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing in April and public prospectus release this week have accelerated its IPO timeline, positioning June 12 as the market’s highest-implied probability outcome at 67.5 percent. Traders are pricing in a Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX following faster-than-expected regulatory clearance, with roadshow activity slated to begin around June 4 and potential pricing as early as June 11. Mid-June alternatives such as June 24 and June 29 hold 45.1 percent odds each, reflecting residual uncertainty around final share allocation and lock-up structures disclosed in the filing. The consensus reflects institutional positioning ahead of what could become the largest IPO on record, with market-implied odds incorporating both confirmed deal mechanics and the narrow window before quarter-end reporting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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