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Технологии·Big Tech

Какая компания имеет третью лучшую модель ИИ в конце апреля?

icon for Какая компания имеет третью лучшую модель ИИ в конце апреля?
Технологии·Big Tech

Какая компания имеет третью лучшую модель ИИ в конце апреля?

Ended: апр. 30

мая 31

июн. 30

Ended: апр. 30

мая 31

июн. 30

Google 100.0%

Anthropic <1%

Mistral <1%

Baidu <1%

Polymarket

$1,071,092 Объем

Google 100.0%

Anthropic <1%

Mistral <1%

Baidu <1%

Polymarket

$1,071,092 Объем

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$335,802 Объем

Нет

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$15,246 Объем

Нет

icon for Google

Google

$153,435 Объем

Да

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$26,383 Объем

Нет

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$105,795 Объем

Нет

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$94,622 Объем

Нет

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$41,993 Объем

Нет

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$29,772 Объем

Нет

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$15,541 Объем

Нет

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$32,628 Объем

Нет

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$34,831 Объем

Нет

icon for Meta

Meta

$39,567 Объем

Нет

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$22,189 Объем

Нет

icon for xAI

xAI

$110,437 Объем

Нет

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$12,852 Объем

Нет

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro holds the third spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with a robust Elo score, trailing only Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7—released April 16 and propelled to the top via superior reasoning benchmarks—and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 from its April 23 rollout, cementing 100% trader consensus for Google as the third-best AI model company by April's end. Late-month challengers like DeepSeek's V4 preview (April 24, open weights) and Alibaba's Qwen 3.6-Max (April 20) generated hype with competitive pricing and agentic capabilities but garnered insufficient blind-vote battles to displace Gemini amid the crowded April release wave. With resolution imminent, only an unprecedented voting surge or stealth model drop could realistically upend this positioning, though stabilized rankings reflect the wisdom of crowds backed by real capital.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$1,071,092
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 4:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro holds the third spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with a robust Elo score, trailing only Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7—released April 16 and propelled to the top via superior reasoning benchmarks—and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 from its April 23 rollout, cementing 100% trader consensus for Google as the third-best AI model company by April's end. Late-month challengers like DeepSeek's V4 preview (April 24, open weights) and Alibaba's Qwen 3.6-Max (April 20) generated hype with competitive pricing and agentic capabilities but garnered insufficient blind-vote battles to displace Gemini amid the crowded April release wave. With resolution imminent, only an unprecedented voting surge or stealth model drop could realistically upend this positioning, though stabilized rankings reflect the wisdom of crowds backed by real capital.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$1,071,092
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 4:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Какая компания имеет третью лучшую модель ИИ в конце апреля?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 15 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Google» с 100%, за ним следует «Anthropic» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Какая компания имеет третью лучшую модель ИИ в конце апреля?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $1.1 million с момента запуска рынка Mar 20, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Какая компания имеет третью лучшую модель ИИ в конце апреля?», просмотри 15 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Какая компания имеет третью лучшую модель ИИ в конце апреля?» — «Google» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Anthropic» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Какая компания имеет третью лучшую модель ИИ в конце апреля?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.