Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 commands the top position on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard, bolstered by its dominance in reasoning, coding, and multi-turn benchmarks as of early April 2026. Google's April 2 launch of Gemma 4—a 31B parameter open model ranking #3 among opens and #27 overall—signals aggressive scaling efficiency, narrowing the gap with proprietary rivals via Apache 2.0 accessibility and multimodal capabilities. Anthropic's Mythos preview, selectively released to enterprise partners, hints at recursive error correction and workflow autonomy. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 advances post-pre-training, while Google I/O in May looms as a key catalyst for Gemini updates; trader focus centers on LMSYS Elo shifts before June 30 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакие компании будут иметь модель искусственного интеллекта №1 к 30 июня?
Какие компании будут иметь модель искусственного интеллекта №1 к 30 июня?
$1,411,494 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
OpenAI
35%
xAI
11%
DeepSeek
9%
Alibaba
8%
Meta
7%
Z.ai
5%
Baidu
4%
Nvidia
4%
Mistral
4%
Meituan
3%
$1,411,494 Объем
OpenAI
$345,968 Объем
35%
xAI
$541,208 Объем
11%
DeepSeek
$226,221 Объем
9%
Alibaba
$4,776 Объем
8%
Meta
$13,861 Объем
7%
Z.ai
$4,572 Объем
5%
Baidu
$1,924 Объем
4%
Nvidia
$5,904 Объем
4%
Mistral
$6,377 Объем
4%
Meituan
$2,712 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 commands the top position on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard, bolstered by its dominance in reasoning, coding, and multi-turn benchmarks as of early April 2026. Google's April 2 launch of Gemma 4—a 31B parameter open model ranking #3 among opens and #27 overall—signals aggressive scaling efficiency, narrowing the gap with proprietary rivals via Apache 2.0 accessibility and multimodal capabilities. Anthropic's Mythos preview, selectively released to enterprise partners, hints at recursive error correction and workflow autonomy. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 advances post-pre-training, while Google I/O in May looms as a key catalyst for Gemini updates; trader focus centers on LMSYS Elo shifts before June 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Открытие рынка: Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Объем
$1,411,494Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 commands the top position on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard, bolstered by its dominance in reasoning, coding, and multi-turn benchmarks as of early April 2026. Google's April 2 launch of Gemma 4—a 31B parameter open model ranking #3 among opens and #27 overall—signals aggressive scaling efficiency, narrowing the gap with proprietary rivals via Apache 2.0 accessibility and multimodal capabilities. Anthropic's Mythos preview, selectively released to enterprise partners, hints at recursive error correction and workflow autonomy. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 advances post-pre-training, while Google I/O in May looms as a key catalyst for Gemini updates; trader focus centers on LMSYS Elo shifts before June 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Объем
$1,411,494Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 commands the top position on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard, bolstered by its dominance in reasoning, coding, and multi-turn benchmarks as of early April 2026. Google's April 2 launch of Gemma 4—a 31B parameter open model ranking #3 among opens and #27 overall—signals aggressive scaling efficiency, narrowing the gap with proprietary rivals via Apache 2.0 accessibility and multimodal capabilities. Anthropic's Mythos preview, selectively released to enterprise partners, hints at recursive error correction and workflow autonomy. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 advances post-pre-training, while Google I/O in May looms as a key catalyst for Gemini updates; trader focus centers on LMSYS Elo shifts before June 30 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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