Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Anthropic (95.4% implied probability) as the #2 AI model provider in the Style Control On category by end of March, propelled by Claude 3 Opus's standout performance on LMSYS Chatbot Arena benchmarks after its March 4 launch. The model demonstrated superior style adherence and creative control—key metrics for this leaderboard—outpacing rivals like OpenAI's GPT-4o mini, Google's Gemini 1.5, and emerging challengers from xAI or DeepSeek, whose recent demos showed gaps in comparable capabilities. No credible late-March releases or leaderboard shifts from competitors have materialized, solidifying this positioning amid stable AI evaluation frameworks. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen model drop or metric recalibration before snapshot, though low capital on alternatives signals trader confidence in the status quo.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКакая компания имеет модель искусственного интеллекта №2 в конце марта? (Управление стилем включено)
Какая компания имеет модель искусственного интеллекта №2 в конце марта? (Управление стилем включено)
Anthropic 95.8%
xAI 1.9%
DeepSeek <1%
OpenAI <1%
$473,561 Объем
$473,561 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
Anthropic
96%
xAI
2%
DeepSeek
1%
OpenAI
1%
Moonshot
<1%
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Anthropic 95.8%
xAI 1.9%
DeepSeek <1%
OpenAI <1%
$473,561 Объем
$473,561 Объем
Mar 31, 2026
Anthropic
$43,304 Объем
96%
xAI
$17,635 Объем
2%
DeepSeek
$71,312 Объем
1%
OpenAI
$88,683 Объем
1%
Moonshot
$53,633 Объем
<1%
$57,162 Объем
<1%
Z.ai
$22,118 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$109,538 Объем
<1%
Alibaba
$10,175 Объем
<1%
Meituan
$0 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Anthropic (95.4% implied probability) as the #2 AI model provider in the Style Control On category by end of March, propelled by Claude 3 Opus's standout performance on LMSYS Chatbot Arena benchmarks after its March 4 launch. The model demonstrated superior style adherence and creative control—key metrics for this leaderboard—outpacing rivals like OpenAI's GPT-4o mini, Google's Gemini 1.5, and emerging challengers from xAI or DeepSeek, whose recent demos showed gaps in comparable capabilities. No credible late-March releases or leaderboard shifts from competitors have materialized, solidifying this positioning amid stable AI evaluation frameworks. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen model drop or metric recalibration before snapshot, though low capital on alternatives signals trader confidence in the status quo.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ET
Объем
$473,561Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Anthropic (95.4% implied probability) as the #2 AI model provider in the Style Control On category by end of March, propelled by Claude 3 Opus's standout performance on LMSYS Chatbot Arena benchmarks after its March 4 launch. The model demonstrated superior style adherence and creative control—key metrics for this leaderboard—outpacing rivals like OpenAI's GPT-4o mini, Google's Gemini 1.5, and emerging challengers from xAI or DeepSeek, whose recent demos showed gaps in comparable capabilities. No credible late-March releases or leaderboard shifts from competitors have materialized, solidifying this positioning amid stable AI evaluation frameworks. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen model drop or metric recalibration before snapshot, though low capital on alternatives signals trader confidence in the status quo.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second-highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$473,561Дата окончания
Mar 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs Anthropic (95.4% implied probability) as the #2 AI model provider in the Style Control On category by end of March, propelled by Claude 3 Opus's standout performance on LMSYS Chatbot Arena benchmarks after its March 4 launch. The model demonstrated superior style adherence and creative control—key metrics for this leaderboard—outpacing rivals like OpenAI's GPT-4o mini, Google's Gemini 1.5, and emerging challengers from xAI or DeepSeek, whose recent demos showed gaps in comparable capabilities. No credible late-March releases or leaderboard shifts from competitors have materialized, solidifying this positioning amid stable AI evaluation frameworks. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen model drop or metric recalibration before snapshot, though low capital on alternatives signals trader confidence in the status quo.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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