FL-09 Republican Primary Winner
NEW
Howard Steven Rance 44%
Thomas Chalifoux 43%
Justin Story 42%
Jorge Malavet 40%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Howard Steven Rance
$0 Vol.
44%
Howard Steven Rance
$0 Vol.
44%
Thomas Chalifoux
$0 Vol.
43%
Thomas Chalifoux
$0 Vol.
43%
Justin Story
$1 Vol.
42%
Justin Story
$1 Vol.
42%
Jorge Malavet
$0 Vol.
40%
Jorge Malavet
$0 Vol.
40%
Marcus Carter
$0 Vol.
38%
Marcus Carter
$0 Vol.
38%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Created At: Dec 23, 2025, 10:08 PM UTC
Volume
$1End Date
Aug 18, 2026Created At
Dec 23, 2025, 10:08 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NEW
FL-09 Republican Primary Winner
Howard Steven Rance 44%
Thomas Chalifoux 43%
Justin Story 42%
Jorge Malavet 40%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Howard Steven Rance
$0 Vol.
44%
Thomas Chalifoux
$0 Vol.
43%
Justin Story
$1 Vol.
42%
Jorge Malavet
$0 Vol.
40%
Marcus Carter
$0 Vol.
38%
About
Volume
$1End Date
Aug 18, 2026Created At
Dec 23, 2025, 10:08 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
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