The crowded Republican primary for Florida’s 9th Congressional District, set for August 18, 2026, remains competitive among the leading contenders as the field splits support across multiple qualified candidates. Recent developments include Thomas Chalifoux’s $1 million television and digital advertising push launched in late July, alongside a July candidate forum in St. Cloud that gave voters direct exposure to the platforms of Ben Butler, Chalifoux, Dan Green, and others. Redistricting completed this spring shifted the district toward a Republican lean, heightening interest in the nomination. Endorsements for Butler from local agriculture leaders and figures such as Brandon Ludwig have provided momentum, while Chalifoux’s military background and prior 2024 nomination experience sustain his position. These factors, combined with limited polling data and the open nature of the race, sustain the tight market positioning among the top three.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBen Butler 38.7%
Thomas Chalifoux 32%
Dan Green 18%
Steve Rance <1%
$50,276 Vol.
$50,276 Vol.

Ben Butler
41%

Thomas Chalifoux
32%

Dan Green
18%

Steve Rance
<1%

Marcus Carter
<1%

Justin Story
<1%

Howard Steven Rance
<1%

Jorge Martinez
<1%

Jorge Malavet
<1%
Ben Butler 38.7%
Thomas Chalifoux 32%
Dan Green 18%
Steve Rance <1%
$50,276 Vol.
$50,276 Vol.

Ben Butler
41%

Thomas Chalifoux
32%

Dan Green
18%

Steve Rance
<1%

Marcus Carter
<1%

Justin Story
<1%

Howard Steven Rance
<1%

Jorge Martinez
<1%

Jorge Malavet
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The crowded Republican primary for Florida’s 9th Congressional District, set for August 18, 2026, remains competitive among the leading contenders as the field splits support across multiple qualified candidates. Recent developments include Thomas Chalifoux’s $1 million television and digital advertising push launched in late July, alongside a July candidate forum in St. Cloud that gave voters direct exposure to the platforms of Ben Butler, Chalifoux, Dan Green, and others. Redistricting completed this spring shifted the district toward a Republican lean, heightening interest in the nomination. Endorsements for Butler from local agriculture leaders and figures such as Brandon Ludwig have provided momentum, while Chalifoux’s military background and prior 2024 nomination experience sustain his position. These factors, combined with limited polling data and the open nature of the race, sustain the tight market positioning among the top three.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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