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Supreme Court predictions & odds

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Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

34%

$4.5K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

17%

$27.4K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

18

Ends in 8 months

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

14%

July 31

$937K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

90%

$21.4K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

73%

$39.3K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

82%

June 30

$28.7K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?

89%

$122K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

32%

December 31

$61.0K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

SCOTUS rules in favor of Monsanto?

SCOTUS rules in favor of Monsanto?

66%

$207 Vol.

$81 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

8%

$28.9K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

7%

$68.4K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

25

Ends in 8 months

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

20%

$21.3K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

65%

$262 Vol.

$212 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?

100%

$13.4K Vol.

$23.4K Liq.

3

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$136K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

10

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

9%

$79.3K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

27%

$5.5K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

46%

$125 Vol.

$203 Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs USA

ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs USA

53%

USA

$119 Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

88%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Supreme Court .

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Supreme Court that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 85% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Supreme Court predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.