Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current term constitutionally extends until May 2028, with no snap presidential election called despite opposition calls from figures like jailed Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, solidifying trader consensus at 89.5% against his exit by year-end 2026. Recent advances in official peace talks with Kurdish militants, including ally Devlet Bahçeli's May 5 proposal for jailed PKK leader Abdullah Öcalan's official status and Erdoğan's April 29 defense of the process, signal political stability and focus on domestic consolidation rather than early transition. Absent health crises, no-confidence triggers, or parliamentary dissolution, markets reflect low risk of premature departure ahead of the scheduled 2028 polls.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Earn 4%
$348,914 Vol.
$348,914 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Earn 4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current term constitutionally extends until May 2028, with no snap presidential election called despite opposition calls from figures like jailed Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, solidifying trader consensus at 89.5% against his exit by year-end 2026. Recent advances in official peace talks with Kurdish militants, including ally Devlet Bahçeli's May 5 proposal for jailed PKK leader Abdullah Öcalan's official status and Erdoğan's April 29 defense of the process, signal political stability and focus on domestic consolidation rather than early transition. Absent health crises, no-confidence triggers, or parliamentary dissolution, markets reflect low risk of premature departure ahead of the scheduled 2028 polls.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volume
$348,914End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current term constitutionally extends until May 2028, with no snap presidential election called despite opposition calls from figures like jailed Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, solidifying trader consensus at 89.5% against his exit by year-end 2026. Recent advances in official peace talks with Kurdish militants, including ally Devlet Bahçeli's May 5 proposal for jailed PKK leader Abdullah Öcalan's official status and Erdoğan's April 29 defense of the process, signal political stability and focus on domestic consolidation rather than early transition. Absent health crises, no-confidence triggers, or parliamentary dissolution, markets reflect low risk of premature departure ahead of the scheduled 2028 polls.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$348,914End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current term constitutionally extends until May 2028, with no snap presidential election called despite opposition calls from figures like jailed Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, solidifying trader consensus at 89.5% against his exit by year-end 2026. Recent advances in official peace talks with Kurdish militants, including ally Devlet Bahçeli's May 5 proposal for jailed PKK leader Abdullah Öcalan's official status and Erdoğan's April 29 defense of the process, signal political stability and focus on domestic consolidation rather than early transition. Absent health crises, no-confidence triggers, or parliamentary dissolution, markets reflect low risk of premature departure ahead of the scheduled 2028 polls.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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