Taiwan's opposition parties fell well short of the two-thirds Legislative Yuan majority required to advance impeachment against President Lai Ching-te in a May 19 vote, securing only 56 of the 76 needed seats amid a 56-50 tally. With the Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party holding roughly 55 percent of the 113 seats, constitutional rules block any realistic path to passage before the June 30 deadline, rendering further proceedings largely symbolic. The motion originated from disputes over executive countersignature of legislation and related constitutional tensions, yet lacks cross-party support to overcome procedural thresholds or referral to the Constitutional Court. Trader consensus at 97 percent against impeachment by June 30 reflects these entrenched numerical and institutional barriers, though an unforeseen legislative realignment or sudden crisis could theoretically alter timelines within the narrow remaining window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЛай Чинг-те объявили импичмент до 30 июня?
Лай Чинг-те объявили импичмент до 30 июня?
Да
$1,333,622 Объем
$1,333,622 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Да
$1,333,622 Объем
$1,333,622 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties fell well short of the two-thirds Legislative Yuan majority required to advance impeachment against President Lai Ching-te in a May 19 vote, securing only 56 of the 76 needed seats amid a 56-50 tally. With the Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party holding roughly 55 percent of the 113 seats, constitutional rules block any realistic path to passage before the June 30 deadline, rendering further proceedings largely symbolic. The motion originated from disputes over executive countersignature of legislation and related constitutional tensions, yet lacks cross-party support to overcome procedural thresholds or referral to the Constitutional Court. Trader consensus at 97 percent against impeachment by June 30 reflects these entrenched numerical and institutional barriers, though an unforeseen legislative realignment or sudden crisis could theoretically alter timelines within the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Объем
$1,333,622Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties fell well short of the two-thirds Legislative Yuan majority required to advance impeachment against President Lai Ching-te in a May 19 vote, securing only 56 of the 76 needed seats amid a 56-50 tally. With the Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party holding roughly 55 percent of the 113 seats, constitutional rules block any realistic path to passage before the June 30 deadline, rendering further proceedings largely symbolic. The motion originated from disputes over executive countersignature of legislation and related constitutional tensions, yet lacks cross-party support to overcome procedural thresholds or referral to the Constitutional Court. Trader consensus at 97 percent against impeachment by June 30 reflects these entrenched numerical and institutional barriers, though an unforeseen legislative realignment or sudden crisis could theoretically alter timelines within the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Объем
$1,333,622Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Taiwan's opposition parties fell well short of the two-thirds Legislative Yuan majority required to advance impeachment against President Lai Ching-te in a May 19 vote, securing only 56 of the 76 needed seats amid a 56-50 tally. With the Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party holding roughly 55 percent of the 113 seats, constitutional rules block any realistic path to passage before the June 30 deadline, rendering further proceedings largely symbolic. The motion originated from disputes over executive countersignature of legislation and related constitutional tensions, yet lacks cross-party support to overcome procedural thresholds or referral to the Constitutional Court. Trader consensus at 97 percent against impeachment by June 30 reflects these entrenched numerical and institutional barriers, though an unforeseen legislative realignment or sudden crisis could theoretically alter timelines within the narrow remaining window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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