**Lai Ching-te faces no active impeachment proceedings as of mid-October 2026.** The most recent opposition effort, launched by the KMT- and TPP-controlled Legislative Yuan in late 2025 over Premier Cho Jung-tai’s refusal to countersign a revenue-sharing amendment, failed to secure the required two-thirds legislative majority in a May 2026 vote (56-50). Even a successful legislative motion would require two-thirds approval from a Constitutional Court that has faced quorum challenges. Current political dynamics center on ongoing executive-legislative tensions, upcoming nine-in-one local elections, and cross-strait relations, but no new impeachment motions or procedural triggers have emerged in recent weeks. Traders assess the probability of successful impeachment as low absent a significant shift in legislative numbers or a new constitutional dispute capable of attracting broader support.