Taiwan's opposition parties, which hold a legislative majority but lack the two-thirds supermajority required under the constitution, saw their impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te fail on May 19 with just 56 votes in favor. This outcome, well short of the 76 needed in the 113-seat Legislative Yuan, reinforces trader expectations that no successful impeachment will occur by the June 30 deadline. The motion originated from disputes over executive handling of revenue legislation but gained no additional cross-party backing during proceedings. While a sudden realignment of legislative support or unforeseen procedural shifts remains theoretically possible before the cutoff, the recent recorded vote and stable seat distribution make such developments improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLai Ching-te destituída até 30 de junho?
Lai Ching-te destituída até 30 de junho?
Sim
$1,333,622 Vol.
$1,333,622 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sim
$1,333,622 Vol.
$1,333,622 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties, which hold a legislative majority but lack the two-thirds supermajority required under the constitution, saw their impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te fail on May 19 with just 56 votes in favor. This outcome, well short of the 76 needed in the 113-seat Legislative Yuan, reinforces trader expectations that no successful impeachment will occur by the June 30 deadline. The motion originated from disputes over executive handling of revenue legislation but gained no additional cross-party backing during proceedings. While a sudden realignment of legislative support or unforeseen procedural shifts remains theoretically possible before the cutoff, the recent recorded vote and stable seat distribution make such developments improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Volume
$1,333,622Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties, which hold a legislative majority but lack the two-thirds supermajority required under the constitution, saw their impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te fail on May 19 with just 56 votes in favor. This outcome, well short of the 76 needed in the 113-seat Legislative Yuan, reinforces trader expectations that no successful impeachment will occur by the June 30 deadline. The motion originated from disputes over executive handling of revenue legislation but gained no additional cross-party backing during proceedings. While a sudden realignment of legislative support or unforeseen procedural shifts remains theoretically possible before the cutoff, the recent recorded vote and stable seat distribution make such developments improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$1,333,622Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Taiwan's opposition parties, which hold a legislative majority but lack the two-thirds supermajority required under the constitution, saw their impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te fail on May 19 with just 56 votes in favor. This outcome, well short of the 76 needed in the 113-seat Legislative Yuan, reinforces trader expectations that no successful impeachment will occur by the June 30 deadline. The motion originated from disputes over executive handling of revenue legislation but gained no additional cross-party backing during proceedings. While a sudden realignment of legislative support or unforeseen procedural shifts remains theoretically possible before the cutoff, the recent recorded vote and stable seat distribution make such developments improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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