Iran’s parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, who has held the post since 2020 and secured re-election to the presiding board in May 2026, faces ongoing scrutiny tied to his role as chief negotiator in U.S.-Iran truce talks and ceasefire implementation. Recent months have seen him publicly reject U.S. claims on sanctions relief and unfrozen funds while warning against excessive demands or violations of agreements, amid broader hardliner debates over diplomatic engagement and domestic economic pressures. Parliament speaker elections and presiding board votes occur periodically among lawmakers, with outcomes influenced by alignment with Supreme Leader priorities, factional competition within principlist circles, and performance in foreign policy milestones. Trader assessments of removal timelines reflect these internal dynamics, scheduled legislative processes, and any shifts in negotiation outcomes or leadership signals before the next formal vote cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$41,041 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
7%
December 31
21%
$41,041 Vol.
September 30
$6,730 Vol.
7%
December 31
$10,725 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, who has held the post since 2020 and secured re-election to the presiding board in May 2026, faces ongoing scrutiny tied to his role as chief negotiator in U.S.-Iran truce talks and ceasefire implementation. Recent months have seen him publicly reject U.S. claims on sanctions relief and unfrozen funds while warning against excessive demands or violations of agreements, amid broader hardliner debates over diplomatic engagement and domestic economic pressures. Parliament speaker elections and presiding board votes occur periodically among lawmakers, with outcomes influenced by alignment with Supreme Leader priorities, factional competition within principlist circles, and performance in foreign policy milestones. Trader assessments of removal timelines reflect these internal dynamics, scheduled legislative processes, and any shifts in negotiation outcomes or leadership signals before the next formal vote cycle.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
Volume
$41,041End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iran’s parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, who has held the post since 2020 and secured re-election to the presiding board in May 2026, faces ongoing scrutiny tied to his role as chief negotiator in U.S.-Iran truce talks and ceasefire implementation. Recent months have seen him publicly reject U.S. claims on sanctions relief and unfrozen funds while warning against excessive demands or violations of agreements, amid broader hardliner debates over diplomatic engagement and domestic economic pressures. Parliament speaker elections and presiding board votes occur periodically among lawmakers, with outcomes influenced by alignment with Supreme Leader priorities, factional competition within principlist circles, and performance in foreign policy milestones. Trader assessments of removal timelines reflect these internal dynamics, scheduled legislative processes, and any shifts in negotiation outcomes or leadership signals before the next formal vote cycle.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$41,041End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran’s parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, who has held the post since 2020 and secured re-election to the presiding board in May 2026, faces ongoing scrutiny tied to his role as chief negotiator in U.S.-Iran truce talks and ceasefire implementation. Recent months have seen him publicly reject U.S. claims on sanctions relief and unfrozen funds while warning against excessive demands or violations of agreements, amid broader hardliner debates over diplomatic engagement and domestic economic pressures. Parliament speaker elections and presiding board votes occur periodically among lawmakers, with outcomes influenced by alignment with Supreme Leader priorities, factional competition within principlist circles, and performance in foreign policy milestones. Trader assessments of removal timelines reflect these internal dynamics, scheduled legislative processes, and any shifts in negotiation outcomes or leadership signals before the next formal vote cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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