Recent polls place Die Linke at 19–23 percent ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, often narrowly ahead of the CDU and well above its 12.2 percent share from the 2023 repeat vote. This surge, concentrated among voters prioritizing housing costs, rent regulation, and social spending, occurs in a fragmented field where the CDU, AfD, Greens, and SPD trail closely and smaller parties risk falling below the five-percent threshold. Berlin’s proportional system with overhang and leveling seats amplifies small vote swings into larger seat differences. Trader consensus on 40+ seats for Die Linke reflects these polling levels and the party’s late momentum under lead candidate Elif Eralp, while the narrow spread among leading parties leaves room for final-week shifts in turnout or preference to alter the precise band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40+ 64%
35-39 26%
30-34 8%
25-29 <1%
$45,309 Vol.
$45,309 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<20
<1%
20-24
<1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
8%
35-39
26%
40+
64%
40+ 64%
35-39 26%
30-34 8%
25-29 <1%
$45,309 Vol.
$45,309 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<20
$2,377 Vol.
<1%
20-24
$3,409 Vol.
<1%
25-29
$6,418 Vol.
<1%
30-34
$8,090 Vol.
8%
35-39
$7,624 Vol.
26%
40+
$17,391 Vol.
64%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls place Die Linke at 19–23 percent ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, often narrowly ahead of the CDU and well above its 12.2 percent share from the 2023 repeat vote. This surge, concentrated among voters prioritizing housing costs, rent regulation, and social spending, occurs in a fragmented field where the CDU, AfD, Greens, and SPD trail closely and smaller parties risk falling below the five-percent threshold. Berlin’s proportional system with overhang and leveling seats amplifies small vote swings into larger seat differences. Trader consensus on 40+ seats for Die Linke reflects these polling levels and the party’s late momentum under lead candidate Elif Eralp, while the narrow spread among leading parties leaves room for final-week shifts in turnout or preference to alter the precise band.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$45,309End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls place Die Linke at 19–23 percent ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, often narrowly ahead of the CDU and well above its 12.2 percent share from the 2023 repeat vote. This surge, concentrated among voters prioritizing housing costs, rent regulation, and social spending, occurs in a fragmented field where the CDU, AfD, Greens, and SPD trail closely and smaller parties risk falling below the five-percent threshold. Berlin’s proportional system with overhang and leveling seats amplifies small vote swings into larger seat differences. Trader consensus on 40+ seats for Die Linke reflects these polling levels and the party’s late momentum under lead candidate Elif Eralp, while the narrow spread among leading parties leaves room for final-week shifts in turnout or preference to alter the precise band.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volume
$45,309End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place Die Linke at 19–23 percent ahead of the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, often narrowly ahead of the CDU and well above its 12.2 percent share from the 2023 repeat vote. This surge, concentrated among voters prioritizing housing costs, rent regulation, and social spending, occurs in a fragmented field where the CDU, AfD, Greens, and SPD trail closely and smaller parties risk falling below the five-percent threshold. Berlin’s proportional system with overhang and leveling seats amplifies small vote swings into larger seat differences. Trader consensus on 40+ seats for Die Linke reflects these polling levels and the party’s late momentum under lead candidate Elif Eralp, while the narrow spread among leading parties leaves room for final-week shifts in turnout or preference to alter the precise band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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