Recent polls ahead of the September 20 election in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern show Die Linke holding steady in third place with roughly 9–12% support, behind the AfD (36–38%) and SPD (30–34%). The CDU trails at 6–7%, its weakest showing in any postwar state vote, while the Greens hover near the 5% threshold and the BSW remains below it. This positioning has held across multiple surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, and others in early September, with only modest tightening between the top two parties and no significant late surge for smaller competitors. Traders appear to view these patterns as the dominant driver of the implied probability that Die Linke finishes third, given the short time remaining before votes are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLinke 88%
CDU 12%
AfD <1%
Grüne <1%
$88,768 Vol.
$88,768 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
Linke
88%
CDU
12%
AfD
<1%
Grüne
<1%
SPD
<1%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
Linke 88%
CDU 12%
AfD <1%
Grüne <1%
$88,768 Vol.
$88,768 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
Linke
$49,763 Vol.
88%
CDU
$22,220 Vol.
12%
AfD
$2,239 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$6,978 Vol.
<1%
SPD
$1,833 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$1,876 Vol.
<1%
FW
$2,008 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$1,851 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls ahead of the September 20 election in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern show Die Linke holding steady in third place with roughly 9–12% support, behind the AfD (36–38%) and SPD (30–34%). The CDU trails at 6–7%, its weakest showing in any postwar state vote, while the Greens hover near the 5% threshold and the BSW remains below it. This positioning has held across multiple surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, and others in early September, with only modest tightening between the top two parties and no significant late surge for smaller competitors. Traders appear to view these patterns as the dominant driver of the implied probability that Die Linke finishes third, given the short time remaining before votes are cast.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$88,768End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls ahead of the September 20 election in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern show Die Linke holding steady in third place with roughly 9–12% support, behind the AfD (36–38%) and SPD (30–34%). The CDU trails at 6–7%, its weakest showing in any postwar state vote, while the Greens hover near the 5% threshold and the BSW remains below it. This positioning has held across multiple surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, and others in early September, with only modest tightening between the top two parties and no significant late surge for smaller competitors. Traders appear to view these patterns as the dominant driver of the implied probability that Die Linke finishes third, given the short time remaining before votes are cast.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$88,768End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of the September 20 election in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern show Die Linke holding steady in third place with roughly 9–12% support, behind the AfD (36–38%) and SPD (30–34%). The CDU trails at 6–7%, its weakest showing in any postwar state vote, while the Greens hover near the 5% threshold and the BSW remains below it. This positioning has held across multiple surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, Infratest dimap, and others in early September, with only modest tightening between the top two parties and no significant late surge for smaller competitors. Traders appear to view these patterns as the dominant driver of the implied probability that Die Linke finishes third, given the short time remaining before votes are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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