Bank of Canada decision in March?

50+ bps decrease

Yes1%No99%

25 bps decrease

Yes1%No99%

$83K Vol.

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

chance

Yes

$18K Vol.

Quebec General Election Winner

65%

Yes65%No35%

PLQ

25%

Yes25%No75%

$171K Vol.

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

Avi Lewis

91%

Yes91%No9%

Heather McPherson

Yes6%No94%

$46K Vol.

Canada recession before 2027?

30%

chance

Yes

$34K Vol.

Another Canada election called by June 30?

13%

chance

Yes

$59K Vol.

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

61%

chance

Yes

$72K Vol.

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

12%

chance

Yes

NEW

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

17%

chance

Yes

$28K Vol.

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

27%

chance

Yes

$95K Vol.

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

chance

Yes

$33K Vol.

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

52%

chance

Yes

$79K Vol.

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

29%

chance

Yes

$30K Vol.

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

50%

chance

Yes

NEW

Bank of Canada decision in April?

50+ bps decrease

Yes3%No97%

25 bps decrease

11%

Yes11%No89%

NEW

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

51%

Down

NEW

February Unemployment Rate - Canada

≤6.2%

Yes22%No78%

6.3%

Yes22%No78%

NEW

Monthly

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

↑1.50

41%

Yes41%No59%

↑1.45

50%

Yes50%No50%

NEW

Will Alberta join the US?

chance

Yes

NEW

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

chance

Yes

NEW

All

Trump

Texas Senate

March 3 Primaries

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Primaries

Global Elections

China

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Trade War

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Mayoral Elections

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Cabinet

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French Elections

Israel

Canada

Bank of Canada decision in March?

50+ bps decrease

Yes1%No99%

25 bps decrease

Yes1%No99%

$83K Vol.

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

chance

Yes

$18K Vol.

Quebec General Election Winner

65%

Yes65%No35%

PLQ

25%

Yes25%No75%

$171K Vol.

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

Avi Lewis

91%

Yes91%No9%

Heather McPherson

Yes6%No94%

$46K Vol.

Canada recession before 2027?

30%

chance

Yes

$34K Vol.

Another Canada election called by June 30?

13%

chance

Yes

$59K Vol.

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

61%

chance

Yes

$72K Vol.

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

12%

chance

Yes

NEW

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

17%

chance

Yes

$28K Vol.

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

27%

chance

Yes

$95K Vol.

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

chance

Yes

$33K Vol.

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

52%

chance

Yes

$79K Vol.

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

29%

chance

Yes

$30K Vol.

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

50%

chance

Yes

NEW

Bank of Canada decision in April?

50+ bps decrease

Yes3%No97%

25 bps decrease

11%

Yes11%No89%

NEW

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

51%

Down

NEW

February Unemployment Rate - Canada

≤6.2%

Yes22%No78%

6.3%

Yes22%No78%

NEW

Monthly

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

↑1.50

41%

Yes41%No59%

↑1.45

50%

Yes50%No50%

NEW

Will Alberta join the US?

chance

Yes

NEW

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

chance

Yes

NEW

Canada Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Canada

Bank of Canada decision in March?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Quebec General Election Winner

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

Canada recession before 2027?

Another Canada election called by June 30?

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

Bank of Canada decision in April?

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

February Unemployment Rate - Canada

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

Will Alberta join the US?

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

Canada

Bank of Canada decision in March?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Quebec General Election Winner

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

Canada recession before 2027?

Another Canada election called by June 30?

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

Bank of Canada decision in April?

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

February Unemployment Rate - Canada

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

Will Alberta join the US?

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?