Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?

chance

Yes

$21K Vol.

SAVE Act signed into law in 2026?

14%

chance

Yes

$47K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47

16%

Yes16%No84%

15%

Yes15%No85%

$107K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

chance

Yes

$48K Vol.

Bill Clinton charged by March 31?

chance

Yes

$40K Vol.

Monthly

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Lisa Murkowski

74%

Yes74%No26%

John Fetterman

70%

Yes70%No30%

$34K Vol.

Blue tsunami in 2026?

37%

chance

Yes

$15K Vol.

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

37%

chance

Yes

$96K Vol.

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?

chance

Yes

$10K Vol.

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Thom Tillis

79%

Yes79%No21%

Elizabeth Warren

Yes1%No99%

NEW

Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?

chance

Yes

$36K Vol.

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

15%

Yes15%No85%

Yes39%No61%

NEW

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

Yes2%No98%

11%

Yes11%No89%

$31K Vol.

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

<20

Yes2%No98%

20–23

Yes6%No94%

$22K Vol.

Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?

16%

chance

Yes

NEW

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

<24

Yes5%No95%

24–27

Yes2%No98%

$26K Vol.

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

15%

chance

Yes

NEW

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

84%

chance

Yes

NEW

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

87%

Yes87%No13%

Yes4%No96%

NEW

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

16%

chance

Yes

NEW

All

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Texas Senate

March 3 Primaries

Midterms

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Congress

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?

chance

Yes

$21K Vol.

SAVE Act signed into law in 2026?

14%

chance

Yes

$47K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47

16%

Yes16%No84%

15%

Yes15%No85%

$107K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

chance

Yes

$48K Vol.

Bill Clinton charged by March 31?

chance

Yes

$40K Vol.

Monthly

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Lisa Murkowski

74%

Yes74%No26%

John Fetterman

70%

Yes70%No30%

$34K Vol.

Blue tsunami in 2026?

37%

chance

Yes

$15K Vol.

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

37%

chance

Yes

$96K Vol.

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?

chance

Yes

$10K Vol.

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Thom Tillis

79%

Yes79%No21%

Elizabeth Warren

Yes1%No99%

NEW

Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?

chance

Yes

$36K Vol.

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

15%

Yes15%No85%

Yes39%No61%

NEW

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

Yes2%No98%

11%

Yes11%No89%

$31K Vol.

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

<20

Yes2%No98%

20–23

Yes6%No94%

$22K Vol.

Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?

16%

chance

Yes

NEW

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

<24

Yes5%No95%

24–27

Yes2%No98%

$26K Vol.

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

15%

chance

Yes

NEW

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

84%

chance

Yes

NEW

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

87%

Yes87%No13%

Yes4%No96%

NEW

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

16%

chance

Yes

NEW

Congress Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Congress

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?

SAVE Act signed into law in 2026?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Bill Clinton charged by March 31?

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

Congress

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?

SAVE Act signed into law in 2026?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Bill Clinton charged by March 31?

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?